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TSE:ADN
Thinks this is buyable right now, but in the context with the forestry sector. He is always a little cautious about recommending a long-term investment in a cyclical sector. They have done very, very well over the last couple of years. Has a nice association with its parent Brookfield with all sorts of plans to make nice acquisitions. They are based on the east coast which gives them an advantage.
The reason to own this is if you believe the US housing market is normalizing and will show more growth, the Canadian housing market continues to show good growth along with demand from Asia. He sees potential for these companies to show more growth. The Cdn$ is dropping, which makes the price of lumber more attractive. There is potential for rising dividends. A good place to be.
Can’t speak of the stock directly but can generally speak about the sector in that all the stocks have had a similar story. Has been a selloff of late because of questions on US housing. Sees this is a very volatile sector in a nice uptrend. He wouldn’t be too concerned about any selloff. Looking out to 2014-2015 he expects there will be some good value in these names. Prefers International Forest Products (IFP.A-T).
Lumber. Prices have gone haywire but in the last month or so they have fallen off with the rest of the commodities. Lumber prices are going to track US housing starts. He can see lumber prices staying high for a long time. His preference is Acadian Timber (AND-T) as he feels it is a safer play. Owns 2,000,000 plus acres of timber land in the US and Canada. Pays a wonderful dividend of 5.9%. If lumber prices stay above $350, it is possible to see a dividend increase by the end of the year.
Brookfield owns 45%. The rumour has always been that at some point in time they want to grow this and make it a big company and maybe make it another Brookfield timber publicly traded entity. A good play on the US housing market. Dividend yield of 5.33%.