John O'Connell, CFAAmgen Inc.AMGNCOMMENTApr 21, 2015
Biotech Index has had a huge run. It is an area of incredible innovation that is taking place. This company is growing very rapidly. They deal in drugs that people are going to spend a lot of money for repeatedly. Trading at huge valuations and there is substantial competition. There is a battle taking place between drug costs and health insurance costs in the US. About 3% of the drugs that are being prescribed account for about 80% of the bill. This means there is a very big concentration of risk. Thinks there is going to be a battle between the insurers and the drug companies, and that it is not far away. Be careful as there is a lot of volatility.
He took some money out of tech and put it into healthcare, which has seen an increase lately. He just added Amgen who delieverd a terrific report. He will continue to rally in the second half this year, will outperform tech.
A long-term fine business and just reported good earnings. It's not in tech or industrials, so it has more stickiness. They made positive plans in their drug pipeline. Seasonally, now is the right time to buy biotech
He bought it last week to diversify and get more exposure in pharmaceuticals. They report next week. Compare to Abbvie which just surprised with drug sales. There's some FT overhang, but shares have been bottoming out recently. If they announce good results, investors will chase this next week.
Facing a patent crisis as proprietary tech is challenged. Shares have recently sold off. Will take time to see how prospects play out. Good hold, but other places to invest for new investors.
Granddaddy of biotech. Even better than it used to be. Very deep bench of drugs. New acquisition will add growth on top of already-decent growth. Very strong financials. Income opportunity, stability, and some growth not yet fully priced in. Yield is 3.14%, well covered at 42%, increased by 11% average annually over 5 years. (Analysts’ price target is $268.80)
Today, they said they are buying Horizon Therapeutics for $27.8 billion. This deal should close quickly, since there's little overlap of these companies' drugs. Initially, he thought the price was high, but now he likes the deal. An established, big biotech that bought a younger biotech with exciting drugs at a 15% premium. Amgen wants HT's portfolio of drugs treating rare diseases and well-covered by insurance, therefore lucrative. HT's drugs will benefit from Amgen's worldwide distribution.
(A Top Pick Nov 03/20, Up 4.1%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with AMGN has triggered its stop at $228. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the holding at this time.
Some of their key drugs are coming off patent, so he likes how they're making key buys of companies like CCXI, which would give Amgen exposure to drugs for auto-immune diseases and inflammatory conditions. CCXI has one drug on the market to treat blood vessel inflammation and a handful of phase 1 treatments including ulcerative colitis. The deal is good for Amgen.
(A Top Pick Nov 03/20, Up 17.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with AMGN is progressing well. We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $218) to $228.
Biotech Index has had a huge run. It is an area of incredible innovation that is taking place. This company is growing very rapidly. They deal in drugs that people are going to spend a lot of money for repeatedly. Trading at huge valuations and there is substantial competition. There is a battle taking place between drug costs and health insurance costs in the US. About 3% of the drugs that are being prescribed account for about 80% of the bill. This means there is a very big concentration of risk. Thinks there is going to be a battle between the insurers and the drug companies, and that it is not far away. Be careful as there is a lot of volatility.