AVGO vs. ASML Both are great. AVGO is semiconductors, and ASML is semiconductor equipment. China, Europe, and the US are looking to build out foundry capacity. Longer term, it means a lot of capacity is coming online. Short term, it's good for equipment companies. Longer term, we'll have a glut, and this will be a structural challenge. Day trade the sector. High likelihood of price moving down due to price wars. He owns Samsung.
Nvidia has been the most exciting name in AI this year, but is up only 1% since late August, while AVGO has been up 23%. Invstors are looking beyond the obvious names and will continue to buy names like AVGO.
Trades at 24x forward PE, up because of the VMware deal which is 30% accretive and gets them 50% software exposure in recurring revenues. Not worried that this has run up so much this year. Likes it a lot and owns a big position.
Is up 17% in the past month. They just closed their VMware purchase. Also, they reported a great quarter with solid guidance for 2024. He recently took a few shares off the table, not many.
Really performed well. Best of both worlds: in AI chip space, and valuation is not excessive. He missed this one. Very good company, very good stock. His choice is QCOM, which will do as well over time.
Buy either way. If the deal closes, AVGO's PE will rise. If not, the CEO will buy as much stock as possible, meaning the stock is cheap. He needs to see the deal close before he can endorse buying this.
The VMware deal needs China's approval to go through and he doesn't know what will happen if it doesn't. But AVGO is a fine company and cheap stock and run by a superb CEO.
A decent runway ahead. He owns this and especially VMware. China is holding their merger hostage as a bargaining chip against Biden, but he expects the deal to close in December.
Good runway to 12-month price target of $996.75. Essentially, a system on a chip. 75% of revenue from semiconductors, 25% from infrastructure software. Owns in separately managed accounts. Not as expensive as some of the other semis.
They report next week. A reasonably valued way to participate in gen-AI; they will grow that AI revenue from 10% in 2022 to 25% in 2024, $1 billion in AI revenue. There could be a strong jump in shares with strong earnings.
Extremely well run. Moving into software via acquisition, laying people off to save costs. He's been trimming on the way up, leaving him with a 2% weighting.