The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)CNHI IndustrialCNHITOP PICKJan 23, 2024
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly
CNHI is the global leader in the manufacturing of agricultural combine harvesters. It continues to improve efficiency of its production line processes and integrate new technology to help farmers. It trades at 7x earnings, under 2x book value and supports a robust 32% ROE. It pays a good dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 25% of cash flow. It is prudently using some cash reserves to aggressively retire debt and buy back shares. We recommend placing a stop-loss at $9.50, looking to achieve $15.00 -- upside potential of 25%. Yield 3.2%
They mostly beat their Q2 and reiterated (didn't raise) full-year guidance. Has rallied 23% in 3 months, but just pulled back on mixed earnings. They beat headline sales and earnings, but cash flow was weaker than expected.
Recently spun off its vehicle business to become a pure agricultural and construction equipment play. However, it sells off whenever there are fears of Fed hikes triggering a recession. Their last quarter was excellent and they raised their full-year sales forecast. Shares jumped 6%, though it's still down for the year.
CNHI is the global leader in the manufacturing of agricultural combine harvesters. It continues to improve efficiency of its production line processes and integrate new technology to help farmers. It trades at 7x earnings, under 2x book value and supports a robust 32% ROE. It pays a good dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 25% of cash flow. It is prudently using some cash reserves to aggressively retire debt and buy back shares. We recommend placing a stop-loss at $9.50, looking to achieve $15.00 -- upside potential of 25%. Yield 3.2%
(Analysts’ price target is $15.07)