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Opinions John Stephenson
Campbell Soup CompanyCPBTOP PICKAug 30, 2016
John StephensonOwned
$60.73
Stock price when the opinion was issued
$21.27
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
food processing
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BUY
Up 31% this year so far. They've always had strong brands. They had supply chain problems this year, but thankfully are in the past. They raised prices to offset shortages and won't lower prices now that supplies problems have ended. Last week they reported a monster earnings beat, 15% organic sales growth and a strong forecast. Looks very good for 2023.
food processing
BUY
He recommends packaged food stocks as safe havens if there's a recession. CPB is up 22% this year. They keep putting up good numbers and just reported a 14-cent earnings beat, higher than expected sales (15% organic growth vs. expected 10%), and they raised their full-year forecast. There's more room to run.
food processing
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Premium contentPAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 12/20, Down 12.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with CPB has triggered its stop at $42. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 12%, when combined with the previous buy recommendation.
food processing
Premium contentPAST TOP PICK
COMMENT
When investors fear the pandemic and a Fed-induced slowdown, the more conservative ones buy consumer staples. Staples have been beaten up this year, but today they rallied. Campbell's is up 8% so far this month, despite last week's mixed quarter. Yesterday, they held an investor day and unveiled very bullish long-term growth targets. Could this be the start of a larger move?
food processing
Premium contentTOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly When CPB last reported earnings in Sep, EPS of $0.63 exceeded expectations by 18%. The pandemic increased soup demand by 30% and gained them over 6 million new household buyers. As we head into the the next seasonal demand upswing we are recommending them as a TOP PICK, targeting $54. It pays a good dividend, backed by a 26% payout ratio. We would recommend a stop-loss at $38. Yield 2.90% (Analysts’ price target is $53.33)
food processing
BUY
Trades at 15x earnings, pays a 3% dividend yield and generates a huge amount of cash. The stock has been slumping during the pandemic, because it's not the kind of stock you buy in an accelerating economy. Recently it announced 18% sales growth, but the stock got slammed, partially because the company didn't offer guidance for 2021 (but so have many companies).
food processing
COMMENT
A lot of bond proxies, including staples, have been under pressure. If CPB can rise above its current trend channel, we'd see a new uptrend. That's a concern, because when things go great, then people don't need to buy staples. Also, if he sees CPB move higher and break its downtrend, then it would tell him that something big is happening, that portfolio managers are becoming cautious.
food processing
*Short*. This trades at an expensive valuation at roughly 21X earnings. It is dependent primarily on soup, which is in secular decline, and is the high margin part of their business. A lot of it is dependent on weather. Dividend yield of 2.05%.