Stockchase InsightsCanadian Solar Inc.CSIQBUY ON WEAKNESSAug 23, 2023
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research
Canadian Solar shipments rose 62% to 8.2 gigawatts of modules in 2Q, reaching the midpoint of guidance, and could rise more than 40% to 30-35 GW for the year due to global demand. Sales were roughly flat in 2Q at $2.4 billion, affected by pricing pressure that could also crimp 3Q sales despite guidance calling for higher volumes. Yet full-year guidance ($9-$9.5 billion) is still probably achievable. Gross margin expanded to 18.6% in 2Q vs. 16% a year earlier, yet was flat sequentially. The company's battery rollout, which has a robust utility-scale pipeline of about $2.1 billion in 2Q, could ramp up further as management expects annual production capacity to grow to 10 gigawatt-hours (GWh) from 2.5 GWh by year-end. For the quarter EPS of $2.39 beat estimates of $152, and sales of $2.36B missed estimates of $2.47B. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Trading at 5x earnings, under book value and with an 18% ROE, CSIQ is a TOP PICK. The 22 year old Guelph Ontario solar manufacturer recently reported earnings that doubled over year ago levels and a 39% increase in revenues. We recommend a stop-loss at $21, looking to achieve $41 -- upside potential of 49%. Yield 0%
Great job building out best-in-class solar panels. Issue is competition from China. Biden administration has suspended tariffs for 2 years, so facing more competition. He'd prefer BLX or NPI, which will benefit from price competition.
They got hit hard when China when big into green tech a decade ago and flooded the market with solar panels. CSIQ was one of the big solar panel-makers. They also spun off their renewable energy assets. This stock is completely ethical, but the price of panels plunging hurts this stock.
Solar panel manufacturer. A Canadian company with operations in Canada, but is basically a US company. They get a lot of their product out of China. However, there are a lot of strange cross currents. Very difficult to get information on this company. Very volatile.
Chinese-based solar panel manufacturer. Want to participate in the new Ontario feed-in tariff program and have a new Kitchener head office. With feed-in declines this industry is growing very effectively so solar is doing fine and this is a good company.
Germany lowered what they are giving in rebates on solar purchases and all the solar stocks have pulled off. Good buying opportunity. Try to get it at $23.
If you like the solar space, some of the companies that you could consider are First Solar (FSLR-Q), a rise technology (APV-T) and Canadian Solar (CSIQ-Q).
Solar is a hot field and a lot of companies have done very well. This one has gone up about 4X from its low, which makes him a little wary. Have been signing new contracts, working in China and everything seems to be going their way. Not a contrarian investment.
Produce solar cells in China. Q3 results had earnings of $.11 while the street was expecting $0.05. Have announced contracts to sell modules to a group to build a farm in Spain. Still under 20X 2009 earnings.
Canadian Solar shipments rose 62% to 8.2 gigawatts of modules in 2Q, reaching the midpoint of guidance, and could rise more than 40% to 30-35 GW for the year due to global demand. Sales were roughly flat in 2Q at $2.4 billion, affected by pricing pressure that could also crimp 3Q sales despite guidance calling for higher volumes. Yet full-year guidance ($9-$9.5 billion) is still probably achievable. Gross margin expanded to 18.6% in 2Q vs. 16% a year earlier, yet was flat sequentially. The company's battery rollout, which has a robust utility-scale pipeline of about $2.1 billion in 2Q, could ramp up further as management expects annual production capacity to grow to 10 gigawatt-hours (GWh) from 2.5 GWh by year-end. For the quarter EPS of $2.39 beat estimates of $152, and sales of $2.36B missed estimates of $2.47B.
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