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NYSE:DHI
The largest homebuilder in the world. They operate in 27 states and have $12 billion in revenue. New home sales are growing at greater than 10% in the majority of US states. The inventory of new homes going back to 1988, is just off the lows. The problem has been not enough homes. This company sells into the entry level buyer, and the millennials are just starting to buy homes. If there is a prolonged, economic, slow expansion, there is a pent-up demand for new homes. Dividend yield of 1.1%. (Analysts’ price target is $38.)
He did extremely well with the homebuilders back 10-12 years ago and was fortunate enough to get out of these by 2005-2006. They’re now starting to hit his screens again and are interesting situations. It is a volatile environment, but, if you can put up with a little bit of volatility, this would not be a bad idea. His favourite in the group is Ryland Group (RYL-N). From a valuation and exposure standpoint, they are the best positioned.
On Wednesday we'll see US home sales data, which he feels remain strong, but there isn't enough supply. Toll and DHI (DR Horton) are buys here to capitalize on this shortage.