The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)Devon Energy CorpDVNTOP PICKJan 19, 2021
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly As COVID-19 vaccines roll out around the world, there is the expectation that economies will begin turning back up and energy demand will rise accordingly. DVN has managed to keep debt under control (with none due until after 2025), see positive cash flow over the past 12 months, and devise a dividend strategy that is market responsive. All this because of the quality of assets. We would buy this with a stop-loss at $14, looking to achieve $26 -- upside of 30%. Yield 2.25% (Analysts’ price target is $25.70)
Good time to buy with weakness in share price. Very attractive increase in USA. Producing record amounts of cash. Good value investment for the long term.
Generates decent variable income. Cash yield next year should be 12% with $80 oil, 16% if oil is $100. It's fine, but if you're an oil bull the way he is, this name doesn't fit the thesis.
They missed a little on free cash flow, but dividend pays around 8%. Capex is inching higher and the street is watching this, wants more drilling. You don't buy an energy stock because you expect oil to surpass $100.
(A Top Pick Sep 20/22, Down 7.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with DVN has triggered its stop at $60. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 6%, when combined with our previous buy recommendation.
How far does oil have to go before the dividend looks unattractive? At $70 a barrel for oil, you will need to rethink things. He saw the bottom in oil at $72-73 when the price held. He'd hold onto Devon. Likes it very much.
Model price of $119.81, upside of 77%. Oils have done very well. Going forward, bearish on commodity producers. He can't recommend it until we see where we're going with the economy, recession, currencies, etc.