The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)Devon Energy CorpDVNTOP PICKJun 28, 2022
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly DVN continues to be upgraded by several analysts. It has increased its dividend for 5 consecutive years and it is backed by a payout ratio under 70% of next years projected earnings. The dividend has a fixed and floating component, so the yield may not remain this high, so it is a bit of a call on forward energy prices -- a good inflation hedge. Recent reported earnings beat expectations and support an impressive 36% ROE. It trades at 11x earnings. We like that it has been increasing cash reserves, while retiring debt early and buying back shares. We recommend setting a stop loss at $43, looking to achieve $81.50 -- upside potential over 37%. Yield 8.65% (Analysts’ price target is $81.21)
Good time to buy with weakness in share price. Very attractive increase in USA. Producing record amounts of cash. Good value investment for the long term.
Generates decent variable income. Cash yield next year should be 12% with $80 oil, 16% if oil is $100. It's fine, but if you're an oil bull the way he is, this name doesn't fit the thesis.
They missed a little on free cash flow, but dividend pays around 8%. Capex is inching higher and the street is watching this, wants more drilling. You don't buy an energy stock because you expect oil to surpass $100.
(A Top Pick Sep 20/22, Down 7.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with DVN has triggered its stop at $60. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 6%, when combined with our previous buy recommendation.
How far does oil have to go before the dividend looks unattractive? At $70 a barrel for oil, you will need to rethink things. He saw the bottom in oil at $72-73 when the price held. He'd hold onto Devon. Likes it very much.
Model price of $119.81, upside of 77%. Oils have done very well. Going forward, bearish on commodity producers. He can't recommend it until we see where we're going with the economy, recession, currencies, etc.