Energy has been the worst sector YTD and QTD, but he remains long energy. The fundamentals are in place. Natural gas is up 16% this quarter, though -70% from last year's high, but we seeing a bottoming in, which is why he bought EQT in the low-$30s and is approaching $40 now. Nat gas may be a better trade than crude oil.
(A Top Pick May 18/23, Up 8.5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly
Our PAST TOP PICK with EQT has triggered its stop at $40. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. When combined with the previous recommendations, this will result in a net investment gain of 14%.
(A Top Pick May 18/23, Up 20.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly
Our PAST TOP PICK with EQT has achieved its target at $44.50. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $37) to $40.
One of the world's largest natural gas producers. Current nat gas prices are weak, but long term they are rising. Any price spike this summer will benefit EQT.
This US Pennsylvania based natural gas producer recently reported revenue beat analyst expectations by 50% and its revenue is expected to grow another 28% annually for the next three years. It trades at 3x earnings, marginally over book value, and supports a 44% ROE. Cash reserves are growing, while debt is being retired. We recommend a stop-loss at $29.00, looking to achieve $44.50 -- upside potential of 23%. Yield 1.6%
He stopped out of this. The mild winter weather in the U.S. and Europe has meant lower nat gas prices. He expects the price to be in the range of $2-5 going forward. Instead of nat gas, lean towards oil.
A natural gas play--the biggest in the U.S.--which is more durable than oil, so EQT looks attractive heading into 2023. Crude oil prices have returned to where they were a year ago, but nat gas prices are up 50%.
He'll return to it next year. It's extraordinarily cheap. There's been too much momentum due to everyone calling for a gas shortage in Europe. BTW, they over-stored in Europe, so that shortage may or may not be there. He sold this to buy Chevron which will go down, but will rise back when China eventually re-opens and so will energy prices.
He bought it on Monday and sadly not Tuesday in the market rout. He likes natural gas's supply/demand. Trade this leading up the winter and not during.
Energy has been the worst sector YTD and QTD, but he remains long energy. The fundamentals are in place. Natural gas is up 16% this quarter, though -70% from last year's high, but we seeing a bottoming in, which is why he bought EQT in the low-$30s and is approaching $40 now. Nat gas may be a better trade than crude oil.