50% off Premium Yearly
Extendicare IncEXE.TODON'T BUYOct 19, 2012Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 19, 2026. Market Open.
How COVID will effect this industry, retirement homes? He owns Sienna instead. EXE is much more involved in government-funded LTCs. Along with Chartwell, these two companies are under government scrutiny, so they likely do a much better job than private LTCs. Good question how COVID will affect these homes: there may be increased costs to manage the LTCs, and he expects the government to do more oversight, particularly the incompetent LTCs. He prefers Sienna to EXE, because Sienna is a mix of LTCs and retirement homes, while Chartwell is mostly retirement homes, which has more upside but more competitive. Don't buy purely LTCs, like EXE.
Extendicare has a better chart than Chartwell. It has a head-and-shoulder chart movement. If you take into account the general market sell-off, investors need to be forgiving.
His biggest concern with this is regulatory risks. Feels the 10.2% dividend is sustainable based on today’s regulatory reimbursement rates, but is uncertain about what they are going to look like next year. A couple of years ago there was a 12% cut. Saw a low single-digit increase this year. There could be a decrease or increase next year. He is particularly concerned with what is going on in the US regarding a fiscal cliff. US has some budget issues.