
TSE:FCR
(A Top Pick March 19/14. Up 16.29%.) An owner of high quality retail in Canada. Also, have a very large development pipeline and will likely invest over $1 billion in the next 5 years. Trading slightly above NAV, but this is because of the quality of its properties, the quality of its balance sheet and the above average free cash flow growth.
In a rising rate environment, real estate will get hit hard. This one will get hit less because of their defensive asset class and they have premier tenants. Great management. He likes their properties. They are conservative, good operators and they will outperform the class. He doesn’t expect much even then, next year.
Very high quality business. Management team is very well aligned. Asset quality has improved. Payout ratio and leverage that are almost the best in the business. The valuation is very undemanding. There is an overhang because of an equity issue done recently. NAV is about $18-$18.25. It is a core position in his opinion. He would add to it right now.
This is a retail REIT, typically anchored by national tenants, focused on people’s everyday needs, grocery stores, banks, drugstores, etc. They have an excellent portfolio of very high quality real estate. The only problem is that they haven’t really benefited much from AFFO growth as some of their peers have, because they have tended to be more focused on growth by acquisition and turned a bit of a blind eye to the multiples they pay for some of the assets. If you own this, you need to have a very long term time horizon of probably 5-10 years. Very high quality assets with a good management team.
One of the highest quality real estate businesses that he owns. Have moved to more of an unsecured debt structure, which allows a large proportion of their assets to be unencumbered. Also, brought down their payout ratio which allows them to give consistent dividend increases. The most important thing to him is the “value add”. There is a large development and redevelopment program that is underappreciated by the market. Dividend yield of 4.76%.
Likes this REIT. This is one of the best ways to play the very strong urbanization trends that we are seeing, particularly in the big markets of Toronto, Calgary and Vancouver. This one tends to have a longer timeframe in some of the things they do and they tend not to pay dividends in the short term. If you are a long-term shareholder, you ultimately do get the benefit. 4.87% yield.
Was a little worried that the valuation, especially relative to some of the other retail REITs, was a little expensive. However, it has pulled back and this is a pretty good entry point. This is a very, very high quality portfolio. Good management team.