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NYSE:HSBC

HSBC Holdings P L C (HSBC)

94.96
-0.01 (0.01%)
as of Jun 18, 2026, 7:59:58 pm Market Open.
50 watching
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COMMENT
Don't buy it for the yield. Pickup in revenues, but they're cutting costs. Growth in retail banking, loans, deposits, and wealth management gave them a decent quarter. As for the currency, the CAD has been range bound. As time goes by, currency risk becomes benign, so don't worry about it.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 22/18, Down 21%) Taken a hit because of the UK. Still likes the banks. Get high single digit returns, and with the volatility these days, you should take that.
DON'T BUY
On international banks they have all followed the same pattern. There is nothing wrong with the operating part of them but we don’t have normalized interest yield curves yet. It is a good one and a big one.
DON'T BUY
vs. Wells Fargo Used to own it, but they kept stepping on their own toes. He shifted that money to US banks (not Wells Fargo). HSBC tried to shrink to grow, but that strategy didn't work. WF you have to look at with a longer time horizon. Even a Canadian or another US bank is better to own.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 13/17, Down 15%) The franchise is still good. The fact that they have operations in Europe and Asia affected them from a fund flow perspective. This is a solid bank.
WEAK BUY

It's low now, so he'd lean into buying it now. All European financials have suffered. He sold his shares years ago. It's one of the biggest banks on the planet with strong exposure to Asia. It will be in better shape next year. Pays a 6% dividend

DON'T BUY

This company has substantial emerging market exposure, where there is growing pain economically – like Greece, Spain, etc. He would stay away. If you want bank exposure, he would recommend the US ones. Where there is growing pain economically – like Greece, Spain, etc. He would stay away.

TOP PICK

Trump has made this trade off for no good reason. 40% of earnings come out of Europe where the economy is doing fine. Great balance sheet. They'll likely raise the dividend. Another 40% of earnings come out of Hong Kong which is pegged to US interest rates, which in turn will rise. A great global franchise. Smart management. Attractive at these levels. (6% dividend, Analysts' price target: HK$79.63)

BUY

After the global financial crisis, all banks under-earned because interest rates came down so far. As interest rates come back up, financials are starting to approach their historical earnings range. Banks in the US and Canada are leaders in this pack. European banks are a bit behind. 40% of HSBC’s business is in Europe, which has yet to see higher interest rates. 40% is in Hong Kong, which is the booking point for Asian business. Because the Hong Kong dollar is pegged to the US dollar, this part of HSBC’s business is pegged to the US interest rate cycle. Higher interest rates in the US are good for HSBC in Asia. He thinks the global banks are undervalued, and are good buys, especially for people with a multi-year horizon. This is not a good trade for 3-to-6 months but he thinks it will do well for someone willing to hold it for 3-to-5 years.

SELL ON STRENGTH

He has problems with this company due to regulatory concerns. A lot of European banks have not been properly recapitalized, may have high leverage, and the balance sheets may be impaired. He would take profit and re-invest in North American banks. Yield 4.5%.

DON'T BUY

He doesn't like this one. The dividend is secure. It’s a massive behemoth bank, but has been struggling to drive earnings growth for years. There's been no organic growth. They may have to make an acquisition, but acquisitions are not cheap these days. If you want to own banks, you are better off owning Goldman Sachs (GS-N) or Morgan Stanley (MA-N). There are better investments elsewhere.

TOP PICK

50-60% Hong Kong plus international. Over a 5% dividend. You get 10% plus the dividend for a few years. You get diversified away from North America. (Analysts’ target: $43.96).

COMMENT

This has 2 major franchises. There is the European, but the largest franchise in terms of earnings is Hong Kong. Hong Kong rates are pegged to the US rates. There is also the insurance business as well as a number of other things. Balance sheet is very good and he sees good upside here.

BUY

One of the big drivers is Asia. The headquarters for the Asian business is in Hong Kong. Hong Kong interest rates are pegged to the US interest rates. When the US raises interest rates, so does Hong Kong. You have a high growth region where money is sloshing over the border from China and into loans, so there is a lot of growth here. The British portion will right itself so that is good. There is an opportunity to grow the insurance business as well. Global recovery is going to be good for this bank. A good, safe way to play multiple jurisdictions.

BUY

It is a global bank, exposed to China, North America and the UK. They are doing extraordinarily well in Asia. They are very well placed for changes in banking in China. He expects them to do well there. We will see a new CEO coming in and it will be interesting to see what he does with the bank going forward. It is a safe investment at these levels.

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