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IBM Common StockIBMSELLNov 08, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
It's finally breathing some life into its stock. The 4.1% dividend is one factor, and falling interest rates will help. Their Q1 and Q2 saw sales lighter than expected, though posted big earnings beat. However, they beat revenues and earnings last month, plus strong cash flow. The CEO has been touting hybrid AI to clients. Their key AI platform is Watson X, launched last spring. Their consulting business makes up a third of revenues but is overlooked. Shares trades at only 16x PE 2024. 43% of sales are from software, and 33% from consulting. This is consistent. IBM its recent upgrades.
IBM lacks the spread of clientele like MSFT. Also, IBM has been getting rid of their hardware business, focusing more on software with AI. In terms of quality, MSFT is better (customer loyalty, Office Suite) while IBM is inferior, offering little growth. IBM isn't a big player moving forward. Among megatech, MSFT is the top.
Has done well, but medium- to long-term growth strategy is weak. Some decline in businesses. Made acquisitions at big premiums, impacting cashflow. Dividend won't grow much. Try for $120 or below, collect dividend, sell at peak. Layering in on MSFT over the next 6 months would be better.