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Lightstream Resources (LTS.TO)

SELL
(Market Call Minute) Prefers CPG
BUY
Nice turnaround. Sold some assets and did a convertible debt issue. She likes it now and will look at it more. Dividend is safe now.
COMMENT
Does the $427 million sale of their non-core assets make the stock more attractive? Absolutely. Entire makeup of the company has changed dramatically over the last year. Increased their bank line and did a $900 million term debt offering, which took away the overhang of their convertible debenture.
DON'T BUY
Financial problem with this company. Had a big convertible debenture issue overhanging them. Solved this with a note to pay off a bunch of it and as soon as they did that, the stock ran further. Have a pretty big decline rate and an over leveraged balance sheet. Has run as most as it is going to do and will go sideways. Could be a candidate for going down more than the average energy stock.
BUY
Had a down trend until Oct/11. Had a first advance in October followed by a Wave Elliot. These 3rd waves can go on for quite a while. Could go to about $18 followed by another correction.
WEAK BUY
Has been less than happy with in the past. It really got a way from its basic business. It was over levered. They also came out with predictions on declines in the wells they were drilling that the analysts didn’t buy. They are coming out with pretty good numbers now. Thinks it will make some progress on the upside. He is not super positive and would like to see more of the results. Likes CPG better.
BUY
Light oil, which is attractive. They have a stretched balance sheet, so he owns CPG. Descent yield that they can maintain.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Has been a real dog over the last year. Worries about a cut in the dividend may have been the principal reason. Also had some production related issues. Instituted a DRIP program so he feels they have kind of papered over the problem. Wouldn't buy it here, but if you could get it at $10 it could look attractive. Keep in mind that they have an enormous amount of convertible bonds that roll over in 2013.
HOLD
Has high dividends, which he likes. Tremendous cash flows. The parent, Petrobank (PBG-T) wants them to continue with their dividends. Production is up 23% year-over-year and expected to be up 15% next year.
HOLD
Numbers have been improving and it now looks quite cheap. Multiples look quite reasonable. Trading right on its NAV.
DON'T BUY
Has badly underperformed all of the other energy names and she does not know why. Have a convertible bond coming due next year also.
DON'T BUY
Not bullish on this company or its parent Petrobank (PBG-T). Both companies are challenged. There is some real concern. Has overpromised and under delivered. If you own a, you can continue to hold for a better exit point.
COMMENT
Has looked at it in the past. Have not been able to deliver on production targets. She wants to talk to management before making a decision to buy.
WAIT
Will probably not survive in its current form. Will at last have to sell some assets. Eventually the dividend could get cut. He doesn’t see how it goes forward in its current form.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Saw compelling value about a month ago. Market is worried about debt levels. Looks like they are on tack for this year. Pays a nice yield. Below $15 is represent good value.
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