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Stockchase Opinions

Carter WorthMongoDB, Inc. MDBBUYAug 13, 2021

Technical analysis: The chart shows it's poised to catch up with the sector and show upwards performance on its own. Also see his thoughts on XLK and the 10-year yield this day.
$377.28

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$332.50

As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.

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RISKY

It has more than tripled though remains down over 30% from its late-2020 peak. Generative AI is a huge boost for them which is why shares have caught fire. Last year they turned a profit and this year their profits should double. The valuation is huge, but the street predicts it will become the King of the Cloud.

WATCH
It reports Monday. Unfortunately, it reports on the heels of Omicron and we'll learn more about soon. It got hit hard like so much tech today as money manager dump risky stocks. Unfortunately, it reports on the heels of Omicron.
COMMENT

A cloud company that does database management, beloved by app developers. It's soared 10x since its IPO less than four years ago, including a 173% run in 2020. This (and cloud stocks) peaked earlier this year at $428 in February then plunged to $238 in its May lows. Since then, it's roared back to $390 and now $350 today. It's volatile. At the end of June, it lost some momentum with a secondary offering. The stock is down 2% YTD. It's growing 32% annually, but is pricey at 30x this year's PE estimates. (Snowflake is at 70s, though.) He's conflicted.

DON'T BUY
He does not own it today. There is a lot of competition in the space of helping companies upgrade software for data management. They decided to stay out as a result.
PARTIAL BUY

Hold your winners, and trim if a position grows too large in a portfolio. MDB is in a hot area in tech. Traditional enterprises are struggling with how to make use of cloud computing; it's a complicated issue with the big question being, what do you do with databases? Oracle has long been dominant here, but many companies feel trapped in their relationship with Oracle. MDB arrives from a different direction--open-sourced that allows users the flexibility to move that data. That said, MDB is a complicated sale; it's lumpy and chunky. It's a volatile stock, and he'd own only a small holding.

DON'T BUY
Sold it in January to buy more ETFs. This has had a fantastic run but is not expensive. He has a $107 price target, just 10% higher than today's close.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Great growth rates, supplying networking software. Has done gangbusters in recent years. Sold it in Q4, but still follows it. $60 price target. Very expensive now. Wants to buy it, but at lower levels.