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3M Co.MMMPARTIAL SELLJan 16, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
3M's 2024 outlook reflects another year of macroeconomic uncertainty, with lower top-line growth than consensus anticipated. The company's consumer outlook is cautionary, as it expects constrained spending again this year, which may be conservative. 3M's 4Q adjusted EPS of $2.42 was better than expected, supported by a lower tax rate, slightly higher sales growth and benefits from restructuring actions. Organic sales fell 1.4% with a surprise gain in Transportation and Electronics (up 2.7%), but not enough to offset declines in other segments. Adjusted operating margin expanded 180 bps to 20.9%, driven by a 380-bp jump in Transportation and Electronics. A planned first half Health Care spinoff is on track, with cash likely to be used for debt reduction and legal payments. Considering the balance sheet and free cash flow, we would not have serious concerns on the dividend, and consensus still calls for some EPS growth this year ($9.21 to $9.66). But, considering guidance, investors might just sit on the sidelines for a while, despite the low valuation (9X). With other stocks growing faster and doing better fundamentally, we would not see it as overly attractive yet. Negative momentum can continue at times. Its 52-week low is $85-ish. We would be more interested at $90.
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Has suffered several lawsuits. Are liable for billions in a major chemical lawsuit, which resulted in a severely negative quarter. Continues to suffer lawsuits. 3M is in disarray and yet is paying a large dividend (because the stock has fallen). The payout ratio is around 60% (not entirely sure), a little high and uncomfortable.
An industrial conglomerate which does everything from postage to Scotch tape. Innovation is really their growth catalyst. They produce 20 products, on average, a year and a 3rd of their revenue comes from products that are less than 5 years old. They are still continuing to expand aggressively. They are issuing $3-$5 billion of debt this year, looking to putting it to work for growth. Stock has continued to run up. If you own, it is a good time to take some money off the table, just because of its valuation. Historical PE is around 12X, and is currently trading at close to double that.