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NASDAQ:NFLX
It's her least favourite stock in the original FANG, because there's a ton of competition in this space: Apple, Disney, Paramount, HBO, NBC, etc. She thinks people still start culling all their streaming subscriptions. Also, their new slate of content will mean huge costs. As competition increases, it'll hurt Netflix's margins. It comes down to subscribers, a number they really missed last quarter. Their guidance is only 1.5 million new subs.
The story is getting better, not worse. Expected to reach cashflow positivity in the near future. Content is now critically acclaimed. Catalogue is much bigger than Disney's. Hold until there's no more cable TV. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $591.39)
Disney vs. Netflix They had a killer quarter and guidance. The stock hit a new high. There are a lot of things firing. Disney+ is less than 10% of overall sales, but they have a great opportunity to monetize those viewers. Near-term, NFLX is a buy. Disney will catch up in many ways. Also, it's a big mess with all the cable unbundling that will lead to a massive rebundling. Maybe NFLX will take advantage of that in coming years.
Streaming continues to be strong this year from 2020. Doubters felt streaming was a zero-sum game, but that isn't so. Money migrated to Roku from Netflix and other streamers. Roku was up 150% in 2020. But last night, Netflix reported a huge paid subscriber additions beat, so the streamers are not going away. NFLX shot up almost 17% today. Netflix also said they're getting close to breaking even in free cash flow, so they can pay down debt, fund their content and maybe even buy back shares.