Bryn TalkingtonOracleORCLBUYSep 08, 2023

He took a loss on this after the company reported a bad quarter, even though ORCL insisted it was a good quarter. He has no time for such companies.

Reports Monday. A solid software company that trades at a reasonable PE and rarely misses earnings. But last time, they disappointed and shares plunged from $126 to $100. Some felt they overpaid for a second-tier electronic records company. Some feel they will leverage their huge data centre group into a gen-AI powerhouse. Wall Street has fallen back in love with AI, which has helped stocks recover.

His 12-month price target is $132. Last report beat on top and bottom, but conservative guidance. Behemoth. Lots of AI partnerships. Cross-selling. Trim in mid-$120s. Re-enter at $110 and $105. Probably won't go below $100.

The CEO says that its data centre cloud AI business is on fire, which he believes. Also, this trades at only 19x PE and shares are well off its highs.

He targets $126, a decent runway. They have 3 business units: cloud/licensing (are #4 in cloud), legacy hardware, and services (they've added more products). Earlier this month, introduced a gen-AI product that's interesting. Can buy now and more at $97 then $91.

Good valuation to buy and hold now.

Still runway, 12-month price target of $126. Lots of collaborations. Coming out with AI capabilities. September reporting beat on top and bottom. Any disappointment on earnings is because newly acquired Cerner was not yet brought in. Tremendous buy here.

Shares pulled back hard last week after a mixed quarter, which he felt was okay. Earnings beat, but revenues were light. Also they bought back 1.3 million shares last quarter.

Oracle will want to hear about their OCI infrastructure and the autonomous database--when will they be a tailwind for growth. She expects a lot of AI talk.

Oracle saw 17% revenue growth last quarter. The sector has been booming due to AI. He likes software infrastructre stocks and the cloud. Interest rates could be a headwind going forward. Would take profits because shares have moved up a lot lately. He missed this stock.

Huge runup from October 2022. Slight pullback. Be cautious. Value 3/10, fundamental 5/10. She's not interested. If you hold, take profits. Risk/reward not there for the street's price target.

Up 40% this year. A cash flow monster. Has owned it for 5 years. It has the best database of information in the world.

Sold it but follows it. Would pick it up on the next break out, but first he expects some consolidation. Shares have made a high move to be one of the more expensive PEs. They've been executing well.

Company is a defensive name that is a safe investment.
Excellent share price performance grounded in fundamentals.
Not expensive compared to other tech companies.
Growth continues to remain strong.