50% off Premium Yearly
PaychexPAYXTOP PICKAug 08, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
Since 1995, has returned 14% annually. Margins have been growing as they've grown beyond payroll processing among small/medium-sized businesses, which offer growth. They benefitted from higher interest rates. He continues to buy it, though it's currently expensive. They project 6-8% revenue growth but will be hit if the economic weakens or rates decline.
Tied to rising interest rates because every 2 weeks, when they do payroll tax deduction, they get to bank it over the weekend before they send it to the IRS. If rates get to their historic value of about 5%, this adds almost $0.50 a share to their profits. Also, if there is a recovery in the US economy, most of it comes from small business first.