50% off Premium Yearly
PaychexPAYXWATCHMay 23, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
Since 1995, has returned 14% annually. Margins have been growing as they've grown beyond payroll processing among small/medium-sized businesses, which offer growth. They benefitted from higher interest rates. He continues to buy it, though it's currently expensive. They project 6-8% revenue growth but will be hit if the economic weakens or rates decline.
Similar to ADP who is focused on the small and medium sized companies. When the economy is really strong this company will do well. His concern is that the economy may be at peak capacity, with unemployment less than 4% -- how many more paycheques can they write? This is also outside the seasonal peak for the sector. Technically, it needs to hold key support near these levels.