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Palantir TechnologiesPLTRPARTIAL BUYMar 09, 2022Stock price when the opinion was issued
It has 2 business lines: Gotham the service part and Foundry the mining data part, AI etc. It has a lot more to go because it has the ability to change its pricing and is now compartmentalized. It is well positioned for the long term. His favourite way to pick up stocks is when they move sideways - or on a pullback.
Has done extremely well. Its two platforms give it two horses in the race. Room for lots of players in this playground with an addressable market of $120B. Buy here, and pick up more around $17-18. Momentum of AI euphoria behind it.
Also look at AYX in his Top Picks, a cheaper competitor. PLTR has the government contracts, with longer average contract length, that AYX doesn't.
Rising profit margins and cash flow. Making a lot of noise in AI, so watch for their AI news when they report in early November. They attract the best clients in gen AI. They've had some new contracts. Two-thirds of revenue are from 20 clients, and 27% from the top 3, so they need to broaden. Watching, but will buy on dips. Expects a lot of volatility. Is now overvalued. Class-action lawsuits are a concern.
The contract is a validating sign for the company, but in terms of revenue it represents a small contribution to its top line. Analysts expect strong sales and earnings growth rates in the coming years, and the company has improved its profitability levels. In terms of valuation, it trades at a premium valuation (13.3X forward sales and 57.6X forward earnings) due to its high growth rates and operations in an expanding industry. Overall, it has solid market share and growth potential, but due to its high valuation there is room for multiple contraction. For a high-risk investor, seeking long-term growth, we would be comfortable adding here, however, we might expect some choppiness in the short to intermediate term.
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He's been in and out of this name. It's taken off during this generative AI boom. PLTR is the king of AI and machine learning. Their Gotham platform serves government clients while Foundry serves business. The total market is $120 billion. Clients are sticky, averaging 3.6 years per contract. Shares are pricey now. He targets $16.25.
In the next month or two, there's going to be some correction or consolidation. Reward/risk level here is not great. Put stops on 20-30% of your position. Once we hit the corrective phase, perhaps September-October, look to re-enter. Has legs toward the $27 level around the end of 2025. Part of the AI wave.
In spite of its recent spectacular run-up you could still start a position, especially in any sort of tech sell-off, for a very good long term hold. It is a securities services company and is at the heart of the AI discussion. It is a new company and the new CEO is well experienced and capable. If you own it you could trim some after the big gain but hold on to the rest.