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TSE:SCR
This summary was created by AI, based on 2 opinions in the last 12 months.
Strathcona Resources (SCR) has announced a special distribution of $10.00 per share contingent upon the failure of its takeover bid for MEG, which has since been terminated. Shareholders are set to meet on November 27, 2025, to approve the plan for this distribution. The company boasts a reasonably robust balance sheet, featuring an equity position of $6.6 billion, minimal net debt, and $1.3 billion in cash, reflected in a low total debt/equity ratio of 0.2X. However, there are concerns regarding the asset quality relative to its peers, with overlapping opinions that MEG's assets may possess superior quality. Despite these challenges, the consensus leans towards likelihood of approval for the distribution, especially with support from the primary owner. Investors should remain aware that the share price is expected to decline post-distribution by a similar amount, yet holding the stock may still be favorable given its recent momentum.
He would not short this because there is an ongoing big run up in anything associated with sports gambling and it looks as though the US will legalize that. Market cap is $100 million which would be easy to buy. He expects this to be acquired--no longer publicly traded--within a year, probably at a higher price.
The stock popped significantly after the approval of online sports betting in the US. It then pulled back a little and has advanced again. There is a lot of optimism for the future of this stock. However, the two analysts that cover the company expect either break even or loss of a penny per share at year end in August 2019. Thus, even though the company is worth more than it was a few months ago, its P/E ratio is extremely high and the actual value of the company is uncertain. (Analysts’ price target is $0.52)
This is the second-leading app in sports news and data in North America. The US Supreme Court effectively legalized sports betting today, causing a spike in theScore’s price. It has over 4 million unique mobile users but a market cap of only $75 million. The Stars Group, which has a market cap of $10 billion, was to heavily expand sports betting in the US and could easily tuck in theScore as its news feed. He expects this company to be sold for a much higher price. (Analysts’ price target is 0.30$)
He likes what has been happening with the company, but is disappointed with the share price. They were going to get into daily fantasy betting, he says, and that had given the company a bump up in value. He has been buying it back lately on weakness and believes the users of the sports content will stick with the company as customers. He thinks this makes the company an excellent take-over target.
As the growth slowed in the adoption of the app, the stock declined. However, the company still has plenty of cash and they are getting a big tax refund. Thinks they are going to be “break even” in the 3rd quarter this year. They’ve taken their user base of about 11 million people or so, and are starting to break into some really larger advertising accounts. Revenue growth has been quite nice, and he sees that continuing. They also have a good relation with Facebook (FB-Q) where they get a lot of traffic. Sees more upside than downside.
The CEO, who owns a significant amount of stock, has been purchasing even more recently. The end of tax loss selling plus insider buying and a cheap stock. You can’t find fast-growing app or software stocks that are trading at 1.5X sales. There is a significant amount of long term upside in this company. (Analysts’ price target is $0.55.)
This is an app run by a superb management team which has built and sold a couple of businesses. They own a lot of stock. Having a really hard time monetizing their traffic. Sports, sports betting and traffic is growing, it’s just the monetization that is tough for them. He thinks they will figure it out, but it is going to take time, so you have to be patient.