Sandisk Corp (SNDK) Buy, Sell or Hold

Sandisk Corp (SNDK)

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DON'T BUY

Good example of where seasonality does not always work. A microchip stock. Historically semiconductor stocks have done very well from September until January but this and similar stocks have not had a good period of seasonal strength this year. This one is clearly in a downward trend. Well below its 200 and 50 day moving averages. Momentum indicators are still negative.

TOP PICK

Flash memory cards are becoming the consumers’ media for storing digital images, digital videos and transferring files. Acquired M Systems, which makes thumb drives/USB drives. They are the technology leader and a great retail brand.

PAST TOP PICK

(Up 3% since Dec 2006)It is a very volatile stock. The company is #2 for MPV players. They have all core patents. They are retailers as well as manufacturers. Well positioned company.

DON'T BUY

A memory semiconductor group. Goes into cell phones etc. Has underperformed the group. Are probably better spots to pick within the group. Although if you are a bottom fisher, it's a bottom fish play.

TOP PICK

Flash memory. (Digital cameras and cell phones) 1st market it is going to eat into is the optical storage (CD’s). They have all the key patents.

BUY

Flash memory is going to continue to be strong. Owns a lot of patents. Have very strong retail presence. Very innovative.

TOP PICK

They are the flash memory. When you buy your digital camera, the memory disk is probably theirs. Memory pricing is far more volatile than commodity pricing, so it will be a bumpy ride. A lot of negative news has been built in.

BUY

A roller coaster that will take you up and down. Great long-term company. Probably a good entry point.

DON'T BUY

They are the ones to own in flash memory sector. Invented the technology and hold a lot of the core patents which they license out. Good management. Negative: memory is worse than commodities as far as pricing and you have to be at the leading edge all the time to make money. Would consider buying in the mid-$40’s.

DON'T BUY

A roller coaster and will be for some time to come. Making decent money in a very tough market. You really want to buy this one when it’s beat up, such as below $40.

WEAK BUY

One of the largest makers of flash memory. This stock has been riding the wave of all these portable devices. Doesn't think this wave is over. The long term outlook looks great. Suggests that buyer beware at currrent prices.

BUY

Manufacturer of memory, cards for computers, USB drives, cameras, etc. Price is not dropping as quickly as people expected. Coming into the Christmas season is a strong period.

DON'T BUY

Expects they will have reasonable decent earnings but you have to be very concerned about the 2005 outlook for most semiconductor companies. A lot of capacity is coming on in China.

PAST TOP PICK

(Was a top pick on Mar 17/03. Up 140%.) Volatile. Keep a stop/loss.

DON'T BUY

This sector is strong. Will continue to do well. Take any profits as they have earnings being reported in the next several weeks.

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Sandisk Corp (SNDK)