Kim BoltoniShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF.SOXXPARTIAL SELLJun 07, 2023
ZQQ vs. SOXX
Both have had very good runs. He'd take a third off the table. If it goes up, you still have two thirds. If it goes down, pat yourself on the back for being so smart. Then you can figure out if the trend is there to go lower. For both he'd trim a bit, and either way you'll feel good about yourself. :)
Significant growth in sector will power results of this ETF. However, would classify as option with a high valuation. Make sure risk management allows for protection from a correction. Overall.. trend is strong though.
A lot of the tech stocks are approaching their price targets, so what's an investor to do? He always recommends writing some calls, actively managing them. You can do this on ETFs over the counter.
Runway for SOXX is probably longer than that of the ZQQ.
Don't sell on recent strength. Expecting further growth. Would advise a stop loss - market could fall with upcoming recession fears. If large position in portfolio - suggest selling a little bit.
Semis are overbought, a legacy of the pandemic, but inventories are starting to normalize and even a few shortages in places. We're overdue for a decline. A trader can play this, but this is not a long-term buy.
Timely. It's a US semis index, including Texas Instruments and Broadcom as the biggest holdings. It charges an MER of 0.43%. For Canadians, it's worth looking at CHPS, which holds global semi stocks, including Taiwan and Broadcom. Note that Warren Buffett has just invested in semis, and he rarely invests in tech.
SOXX vs. ZQQ He doesn't pick ETFs. Mixed messages out of semiconductor industry. Demand issues. Cyclical industry. Trend for semis is degrading, not accelerating. Buying now is a risk. Wait for the semi market to bottom, perhaps in Q4.
Largest semi ETF. Better to buy the single stocks. For example, its biggest holding is CSCO, which doesn't really fit. See his various suggestions and comments today.
Hasn't been following it, and he should have. Semis are huge. Tech got beaten up in January. It might be time to buy. He's not as negative on the tech giants as many are. A lot of the surprise on the downside has perhaps already happened. Increase in rates will diminish valuations, but everybody already knows that. He wouldn't be negative on the semiconductor market at all.
SOXX vs. QQQ vs. TDOC QQQ and SOXX, he has no idea where the market's going to be next month, next quarter, or this year. All he knows is that there's going to be a lot of volatility. So it's an environment of less investing, more trading. Have to be nimble, active. SOXX charts very well, it's the DOW modern day Transport Index, so you need to watch it. He was in TDOC a year ago, and backed away. Healthcare and biotech have had a difficult time.
Are semiconductors a solid bet for the next 5 years?
He doesn't look at it that way. He'd rather look at the indices themselves for strategy. This is a new ETF, founded in June, and contains big names like Qualcomm. That's fine. The sector is hurt of supply chain issues. It's okay as a sector trade.
Unless you're currently in semiconductors and have done well, you're effectively buying top of market. The two big names you want are TSM and Samsung, or Lam Research and Applied Materials on the equipment side. The ETFs are heavily influenced by these 4 names. If you're not there already, don't do it. Semiconductors are very extended right now. You never go bankrupt taking a profit.
The space is cyclical. There is a greater trail wind in place right now. He prefers companies that can consistently grow earnings and generate returns regardless of cycles. He would continue to hold this but remember that it is a cyclical industry,
Both have had very good runs. He'd take a third off the table. If it goes up, you still have two thirds. If it goes down, pat yourself on the back for being so smart. Then you can figure out if the trend is there to go lower. For both he'd trim a bit, and either way you'll feel good about yourself. :)