The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc.VRTXTOP PICKJun 22, 2021
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly VRTX is a previous Top Pick that had two setbacks that caused us to recommend moving to the sidelines. However, its diversified portfolio of therapeutic drugs continues to play a leading role in the potential treatment of cystic fibrosis worldwide. It trades at 17x earning compared to peers at 43x. It has been adding cash reserves that are now estimated to exceed $8 billion. We would buy this with a stop loss at $165, looking to achieve $275 -- upside over 46%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $275.86)
PPH, an ETF for pharma producers, is breaking out and near a record. VTX and Eli Lilly are leaders in this space and Vertex has a great product for Cystic Fibrosis therapeutics. It is growing well and not too expensive.
(A Top Pick Jan 04/22, Up 57.9%)Stochchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly
Our PAST TOP PICK with VRTX has triggered its stop at $350. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 44%, when combined with our previous recommendations.
A high-quality biopharma with a strong cystic fibrosis drug. Are trying to get into other franchises like diabetes treatments. Will do well long-run. Trades at 23x with 11% earnings growth, so you can take some profits now. Had a good run, so take some money off the table.
(A Top Pick Jan 04/22, Up 34.9%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with VRTX is progressing well. To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $270) to $280.
It is in the biotech sector which came under pressure18 months ago. The sector found a footing in June and has held well above lows while the market is selling off. In general there are great bio technologies coming to market. Specifically it is a leading producer of a Cystic Fibrosis treatment that continues to proliferate around global health care systems. It is head and shoulders over what was available previously. It is a defensive stock because earnings are not cyclical and it is growing at 25% per year as well as trading at 18X next year's earnings. With a 74 billion market cap it just made a 5 year high which is very significant. (Analysts’ price target is $310.80)
(A Top Pick Jan 04/22, Up 29.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK is progressing well. We now recommend trailing up the stop (from $245) to $270.
Bought this, adding to his healthcare holdings, a defensive sector he likes. Strong balance sheet with a deep pipeline of drugs, 20x 2023 earnings, 50% operating margins, and 5% free cash flow yield.
Biotech. Dominant drug for CF treatment. Exceedingly strong growth profile, with 2022 estimate for 40% earnings growth. Working on a compound for acute pain that's not addictive. Technically way outperformed the biotech group. Now there's strength in the group and the market. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $307.75)