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Stockchase Opinions

John HoodIndustrial Select Sector SPDR FundXLIPAST TOP PICKDec 04, 2018

(A Top Pick Nov 20/17, Up 1%) Likes this because it focuses on industrials, getting away from energy, financials and materials which dominate the TSX. This offers diversification.
$70.26

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$181.43

As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 31/23, Up 14%)

Seasonal stock that will continue to own. Jan-May good time to own shares. Will continue to own. Recent pullback a good time to buy. 

DON'T BUY

Given all the economic uncertain, the agriculture sector isn't willing to invest in capital equipment (i.e. Deere), so this sector lacks investor excitement.

TOP PICK

Large industrials are strong seasonally from late October to end-Decemeber, then January into May. If we see rotation out of tech, industrials will benefit. He expects this to happen. XLI is currently at support.

BUY ON WEAKNESS
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks

XLI charges only 10 basis points, pays a small 1.58% dividend yield, but it holds some heavy hitters: Honeywell, UPS, Union Pacific, Boeing, Raytheon and Caterpillar in that order. Yes, GE also sits in this basket, but so do Lockheed Martin and Deere. The biggest holding, Honeywell, has exposure to defense, but more so automation in manufacturing, a growing area and one that’s needed in the current labour shortage. Read: Canadian Tire, Savaria & XLI

SHORT
He's shorting industrials which performed well in 2022, but not this year. Industrials are the most levered to the economic cycle, so industrials (at best) are at slight discount to the market.
BUY
Global conflicts tend to wreak havoc on markets, but defense companies tend to benefit. At 10 bps, gives you exposure to aerospace and defense. He likes the diversification, and it avoids the idiosyncratic risk of holding individual stocks.
BUY
Industrials are the place to be if we're heading to a slowdown though not recession. Most industrials are in mid-10x PE compared to Apple's 26x. Caterpillar and John Deere will offer higher earnings growth than Apple.
TOP PICK
It includes Lockheed-Martin, so scores low in ESG (fighter jets) but also holds Union Pacific and Caterpillar. This is on sale, because it hasn't performed well.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 03/20, Up 29%) Large sector ETF. Did well. As the economy opens up, he prefers sectors like banks, utilities, etc.
BUY

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The industrial sector should see growth from global economic growth and increased government spending on infrastructure. Buyable at these levels. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

WAIT
Prior to today it was not a bad idea but with this rally we had, wait and see what shakes out over the next few days.
TOP PICK
As tech has pushed up the broad markets this year during Covid, financials and industrials have been left behind, but they will rise in the coming recovery as a sign of the global economy healing and the global cycle taking off. We see early indications that momentum is starting to return in the industrial sector.
WAIT

Industrial US ETF? In the US industrial sector he sees it as being a tough place to be lately. He would look at some of the BMO family of ETFs. You have to be careful that you are not too concentrated (ie. Boeing). He has owned XLI. He has a neutral view on the space and would probably wait.

DON'T BUY
ETFs do offer a basket of stocks, but we are going to see pressure on free cash flows in revenues for these companies. Quality of individual companies will be very important going forward. Holding ETFs may prove to be a disservice going forward. Analysts are expecting the Industrial sector earnings to be off 20% in Q2 -- second worst, only to energy down 27%. This is not a sector he is interested in right now. He would prefer to wait and pick up individual companies when the recovery begins.