A Comment -- General Comments From an Expert (A Commentary)

REITs: In general they are screening very well. If you want income in a trust, he thinks there are better plays. Still likes the energy sector in this area. He is really nervous about commercial real estate.

Gold bullion (not paper bullion) and/or treasuries. Even professionals don't know what's going to happen in the next 2 days. Preservation of capital should be very important.

Economy: World is in a recession and potentially going into a much deeper one. For many years, leverage has increased more and more. We have now hit a wall. Globally, banks are now trying to de-leverage by selling assets, trying to raise equity and trying to bring the ratio lower. Therefore they are not lending. Very negative for GDP growth.

Gold: Owning some gold is a protection against a systemic failure in the banking system. (See Top Picks.)

Investing: Canadians should be looking at assets outside of Canada. If we are in a recession, the Cdn$ does not do well in a recession.

Banks: He is a firm believer in their stability, particularly Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS-T), Royal Bank (RY-T) and Toronto Dominion (TD-T).

Mining: Given the future growth of the middle class in emerging countries, Canada's resources are in an ideal position. At some point in the next year or two you are going to see them starting to move. Wait for a couple of quarters. His choices would be Teck Cominco (TCK.B-T0 and Sherrit (S-T). (Owns Teck but not Sherrit.)

Market: Thinks this is the start of an upward trend. Stage is being set up for much lower interest rates so the US can deal with its mortgage problems. Locking these in long term at much lower rates, you kill the US$ and you inflate the problem away. You have to reallocate into areas that will benefit you. Some great yields out there.

Energy: Biggest problem we face is supply shock. Burnet Shale has been shut down and will take about a year to start up again. All the rigs that were brought in for repair from the Gulf of Mexico are not going back out because of the current price. Brazil is shutting down the Tooley (?) Project and won't come online for another 7 years.

Silver: This is a great play right now. Currently it is at $10 and has to be much higher than that to keep its historical spread with gold. He likes Endeavour Silver (EDR-T)

Gold: Looking for gold to be much higher than it is today. It has performed extremely well against all currencies except the US$. Smart money is running into gold as a diversification.

Shorting the US$: There are a couple of ways. You can go on margin on the US side, as rates are quite low. You can then buy some income trusts, which are getting great yields right now. Also, HBP US$ Bear E.T.F. (HDD-T) will give you a short.

Oil: Thinks oil will range between its support of $50 and the resistance level of $65 over the next couple of months. Psychological range mostly.

Natural Gas: Chart shows downside momentum is really slowing down. There is seasonality to this. He thinks $7/$8 would be the upside with $8 being a significant resistance point.

Business Trusts: They have to be wound down by 2011. Companies are slowly gravitating more towards becoming corporations. The challenges will be how they transition. Economic slowdowns are going to affect earnings and therefore, distributions. Be very careful that distributions are sustainable.