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Stockchase Opinions

Gordon ReidArcher Daniels Midland CompanyADMDON'T BUYAug 22, 2012

Too many moving parts for him. It is too sensitive to commodity prices. When agriculture prices skyrocket by the drought, it hurts companies like this.

$26.27

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$75.10

As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.

food processing
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TOP PICK

For more than a century, the people of archer daniels midland company (nyse: adm) have transformed crops into products that serve the vital needs of a growing world. today, we’re one of the world’s largest agricultural processors and food ingredient providers, with more than 33,000 employees serving customers in more than 140 countries. with a global value chain that includes more than 460 crop procurement locations, 300 ingredient manufacturing facilities, 40 innovation centers and the world’s premier crop transportation network, we connect the harvest to the home, making products for food, animal feed, industrial and energy uses. learn more at www.adm.com. Social media mentions are up 200% in the past 24h.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 16/23, Down 9.3%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with ADM has triggered its stop at $67.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  Along with our previous recommendation, this will result in a net investment loss of 13%.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

We reiterate ADM, a global food processing company, as a TOP PICK.  A new 5,000 b/d renewable diesel facility in N. Dakota was just opened with partner Marathon Petroleum.  The company has been raising the dividend for the past 50 consecutive years.  It trades at 11x earnings, 1.6x book and supports a 15% ROE.  We continue to recommend a stop at $67, looking to achieve $92 -- upside potential of 24%.  Yield 2.6%    

(Analysts’ price target is $92.23)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly

The large US agricultural player is investigating a joint venture with PSX to produce a low carbon jet fuel.  A recent plant outage in Illinois will see processing of corn back up soon.  It trades at 12x earnings, 1.7x book and supports a 16% ROE.  We recommend a stop-loss at $67, looking to achieve $99 -- upside potential of 22%.  Yield 2.1% 

(Analysts’ price target is $99.08)
TOP PICK

Likes business due to hard assets.
Cyclical business - but demand growing.
High rate of return on capital.
Not expensive at current share price.
Good for long term investors. 

BUY

It should benefit from food inflation.

HOLD

Cheap PE, likes agriculture and pays a 2.2% dividend. Still likes it. If you own this already, don't add more. Instead, buy Corteva in this space.

WAIT
With inflation, prices of all output commodities increased, but also input costs. Commodity prices have rolled back. Pressure next 3-6 months on these agriculture companies. Wait. Any company in the space needs a strong moat or franchise.
BUY
A long-term buy. They report Thursday and will fact tough comps, therefore downside pressure. Likes this as a secular agriculture story.
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Mar 31/22, Down 1%) One of largest agriculture businesses in the world. World is still short on food products. Still owns shares in the company. Expecting better performance going forward. Fair valuation at current share price.

BUY
Up 37% this year in a bear market. He's been recommending it all year, especially after Russia invaded Ukraine, the bread basket of Europe, and sent crop prices soaring. Putin created an agricultural boom market in the rest of the world. ADM last reported a monster earnings beat and much-higher than expected sales. The PE has actually declined since January, a 12x. The ag market is likely to taper off next year, but ADM's PE will remain attractive.
BUY
Agriculture business is challenged with supply of materials (even with high prices). Thinks that business will be very strong going forward. Demand for agriculture business will be high. Global trade will be challenged going forward. Companies that can supply agriculture products will be rewarded.
PARTIAL SELL
Incredibly cyclical. Benefits from high commodity and food prices. Not a forever hold. Take some chips off the table.
TOP PICK
Benefits from the world being short of protein and inflation that won't be tamped down quickly. Scores in top 20% of S&P stocks on price momentum, low volatility, valuation of 16x earnings. Solid balance sheet. Yield is 1.78%, very reasonable payout ratio. (Analysts’ price target is $75.79)
BUY
Good technicals, share buybacks and increasing dividends.