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President at Caldwell Securities
Member since: Oct '00 · 1086 Opinions
Yes, but unduly confident. We saw GDP numbers from the US yesterday, and they were more than 50% higher than expectations. Earnings are still robust, and stock markets are at record highs. The Fed may have tamed inflation, but the next logical step isn't that we're going back to 0% interest rates. In this environment, it just ain't gonna happen.
Either the market's going to be disappointed, or it will come to accept the rates as they are. This is something that's closer to normal where people have to pay to borrow money, rather than what's been going on the better part of 20 years.
Yes you have 5%, give or take, on CDs and GICs, so they're a viable alternative to the stock market. Why do I need the stock market if I can get 5% from a GIC? The same sort of issue happened 40 years ago when interest rates went up precipitously to 20%, so people put money into Canada Savings Bonds that reset every year.
There are 2 options. If you really believe interest rates are coming back down again, buy longer bonds. But with an inverted yield curve, where longer-term rates still lower than shorter-term rates, others are choosing GICs.
If interest rates are coming down, you can ignore both of them and just own the stock market. Whether interest rates go up or down, companies with good strong earnings are in a position to raise their earnings and dividends. So you're better off in the stock market than in either bonds or bank deposits.
Mid-cap energy stocks have been strong, even with reduced fund flows from pension and ESG funds. WCP and ARX will continue to do well.
Never sell just for tax reasons. Whenever he's done this, it's been a mistake. Instead, ask yourself if your thesis still holds for owning the stock? If yes, hold on. If not, let it go.
Mid-cap energy stocks have been strong, even with reduced fund flows from pension and ESG funds. WCP and ARX will continue to do well.
Never sell just for tax reasons. Whenever he's done this, it's been a mistake. Instead, ask yourself if your thesis still holds for owning the stock? If yes, hold on. If not, let it go.
Mid-cap energy stocks have been strong, even with reduced fund flows from pension and ESG funds. WCP and ARX will continue to do well.
Never sell just for tax reasons. Whenever he's done this, it's been a mistake. Instead, ask yourself if your thesis still holds for owning the stock? If yes, hold on. If not, let it go.