Greg NewmanArtis Real Estate Investment TrustAX.UN.TOWEAK BUYAug 16, 2023
Buy the preferred shares, repriced in September at BOC 5-year rate plus 3.3%?
Tempting. You'd get a yield of about 8% until the end of September, and 7.25% after that unless they call it back. You could buy a 5-year GIC in a registered account, no risk, and a yield of 5.32%. Or buy a laddered group of preferreds with about 6%.
Pretty indebted, not the best credit rating, fairly illiquid. If he's going to take the risk, he really wants the reward. He doesn't love either, but the AX.UN common shares with a yield of 8.34% are a better bet right now.
Has a rate reset spread at 330 basis points, and pays a dividend yield of 15%. Something happened to the dividend last August. Doesn't know this name well. They are selling some retail assets to add stability to the stock.
In the midst of trying to decide on its strategy. Strategic review. Outcome uncertain. Challenging market in which to sell non-trophy real estate. Show-me on execution. Higher risk.
Their office holdings will be in a tough spot, but their industrial ones are doing very well and will continue to. NAV is $14-15, but shares are only at $6. So, management will have to work hard to prove to investors that there's a lot more value here. Don't buy until you see that plan.
Fell on hard times. Repositioning. Cut distribution. Exposure to office and retail. Leverage is too high, needing refinancing at higher levels. There's another chance of a downdraft in equity markets, so you want high quality.
Turnaround situation that got caught in a rising interest rate environment. Still likes it and is buying for new clients. Essentially, a creeping takeover. More upside than downside. Don't sell now, lots of positive catalysts.
It is reflecting a lot of REIT's with the squeeze on returns. You should look at companies that are defensive. He would pass on Artis but has a couple of others to look at. For real estate in general he likes shopping centres, but stay away from residential.
Most unloved asset class. Don't throw in the towel. 1/3 of business is owned by insiders. Immense pressure to be privatized, which often carries a 20-30% premium to share price. He's dollar-cost averaged down.
Based in Winnipeg, this REIT owns property in Manitoba, BC, Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota and Wisconsin, broken down into 47% office, 32% industrial and 20% retail. Before you get alarmed over the office and retail holdings, consider Artis' 6.92x PE, 6.35% dividend yield based on a 43.8% payout ratio, and 6.5x cash flow, as Stockchaser Michael O'Reilly notes. In fact, the forward PE is 11.51x, so the market has faith in this name, even though mixed REITs have fallen out of fashion in this post-Covid world.
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly AX.UN REIT holds mostly industrial based properties in Canada, the US Northern Tier and Arizona. It also has some retail and office holdings. It trades under book value and 6.5x cash flow. Cash reserves have expanded to be higher than pre-pandemic levels while it has reduced debt and bought back shares. It pays a good yield backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $8, looking to achieve $12 -- upside potential over 20%. Yield 6.3%. (Analysts’ price target is $12.22)
Diversified REITs are unloved. Trades around 6x FFO and pays a dividend over 6%. Discount to NAV is around 50%. Catalyst is the new management team. Those are two reasons to buy. (Analysts’ price target is $12.71)
TCN has a unique concept, single-family rentals south of the border. Lots of traction. Valuation too hot. Long-term scalability might be tough. For good value and a higher dividend, look at AX.UN, BEI.UN, or REI.UN.
Diversified REIT, and nothing is more unloved these days. Low valuation. New management. Strong case for growing NAV per share. Trades at 9x FFO, an attractive valuation in today's market. Yield is 4.93%. (Analysts’ price target is $13.75)
Tempting. You'd get a yield of about 8% until the end of September, and 7.25% after that unless they call it back. You could buy a 5-year GIC in a registered account, no risk, and a yield of 5.32%. Or buy a laddered group of preferreds with about 6%.
Pretty indebted, not the best credit rating, fairly illiquid. If he's going to take the risk, he really wants the reward. He doesn't love either, but the AX.UN common shares with a yield of 8.34% are a better bet right now.