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Stockchase Opinions

Stockchase DiscoverAmerican ExpressAXPBUYMay 17, 2022

Allan Tong’s Discover Picks In fact, when AmEx reported its Q1 2022 in mid-April, it stated a 42% rise in business travel spending year-over-year and 121% in travel and entertainment spending. That T&E spend in March matched pre-pandemic levels. Further, sales leapt 29% year-over-year $11.8 billion, wiping out pandemic declines. Card-member spending fueled this surge and it made record monthly volumes in March. Its Delta Air Lines card has made all-time highs in terms of accounts, while its platinum cards also hit record numbers in Q1. Card fees grew 16% year-over-year with three million new cards added. The EPS came in at $2.18, well above the expected $1.87. Management forecast 18% to 20% revenue growth for the full year. “People are looking to get out there and travel,” sais CEO Stephen Squeri on his conference call. Read Summer stocks fun or summertime blues? 3 stocks to consider this summer for our full analysis.
$161.09

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$339.67

As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.

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BUY

Just delivered a good quarter and great guidance. Last November they reported that October sales were light, so short-sellers piled in while shares rose. So, today's rally triggered a short squeeze that drove the Dow

BUY ON WEAKNESS

They report Friday. They have a track record of reporting solid numbers, but then someone points out a bad line item and shares fall. Wait for the second day when some analyst downgrades it to buy./

WATCH

Wait till they report next week and listen to the CEO's comments before deciding. Buy on the dip? No. Shares are mid-range.

BUY

Owns a big position.  Their November loan balances were up 15% while delinquencies up only 50 basis points. Trades at 16x forward. Likes this.

BUY

Likes trend, and believes in value of traditional business. Likes nature of company. Stock indicating bounce off of the floor. Will recommend buying small amounts. 

DON'T BUY

Owns shares in Visa, but credit card business strong. Credit risk a concern with business. Visa a pure "payment processing" business. Better options in sector. 

BUY

Just reported overall positive results, but shares were clubbed because they didn't raise their full-year forecast, and volume growth decelerated. However, US spending rose 9% YOY with travel/entertainment up 13% including restaurant spending. Gen-Z and Millennial spending up 18%.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 22/22, Down 2%)

Very attractive business with excellent capital allocation skills. Share count keeps going down. Not worried about slowing economy with this business. Share price a good place to buy. Berkshire Hathaway a major shareholder. Recent earnings exceeded expectations. 

STRONG BUY

Shocked that it trades below 15x forward PE. Constant-currency business is up 12%. Good mix of revenues and are managing operational expenses. US consumer growth is 13%, international is 23%. Much cheaper than Mastercard.

BUY

The valuation of Visa and Mastercard has been elevated, but the growth has supported it. AmEx has the cheaper valuation; they benefit from international travel. He prefers AXP. He owns a little Visa. The future of payments processing? It's Apple Pay, which kids use through their phones. The sector has a lot of moving parts and competition, so it's hard to say where it's going.

BUY

Spending, travelling and higher interest rates are catalysts.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Likes it, but prefers Mastercard while others like MA and Visa. Expectations heading into AXP's recent quarter were too high--and remain too high. Let this come down a little more before it bottoms.

WATCH

He owns Visa and Mastercard, but not AmEx over its debt-to-equity ratio. AmEx does have strong momentum now, though. It is approaching tougher comps, but this is a buying opportunity because it can be perceived as weakness. All told, he is considering buying this.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Reported a mixed quarter, but she has faith and is holding on and even bought more. Why? the US consumer grew 13% and international card spend grew 23%. Overall card member spend is at an all-time high. She bought on today's dip and expects AmEx to grow earnings substantially this year.

BUY

Reported a mixed quarter, but another record revenue quarter. Likes it. Are concerns over higher provisions and some delinquencies. 60% of new cardholders are millennials which is really a good growth opportunity.