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NYSE:BABA

Alibaba Group Holding (BABA)

107.17
+0.07 (0.07%)
as of Jun 18, 2026, 11:54:20 pm Market Open.
439 watching
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COMMENT

This is sort of the Amazon (AMZN-Q) of China. A stock she owns in her aggressive account, but you need to take time to really learn the structure and understand what it is you are owning. This is an online retailer, both business and individual. Just as we have seen strength in Amazon, it has some very good trends. The one concern is what the consumer trends are in China. Currently there is a little bit of slowing, but she thinks that will pick up again. There is also some concern as to whether there are going to be any differences in US trade policies that will affect the company and its ability to be a global competitor to Amazon.

WAIT

He is impressed with year over year revenue growth. He would not purchase it right now. There is typical seasonality. Buy it on a pull back.

BUY

In August they reported earnings that were extraordinary. Underneath everything there were some great metrics. This is one that you have to own.

COMMENT

This and Tencent (TCEHY-5) are the behemoths of China technology. She likes this company. It is a long-term core play.

RISKY

It is similar to Amazon. It is hard to value. It had a tremendous run earlier. She cannot speculate where it will be in a year. It is okay for an aggressive part of a portfolio. You need to understand what you own in this stock.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 31/15. Up 53.57%.) This has the potential to go so much further than it has gone, because it is an international story, rather than a China or Asian story. There is lots of room for growth.

SELL

(Market Call Minute.) Valuation is too rich.

COMMENT

He likes the model, but there has been a considerable amount of misrepresentation and fraud. Can we believe the financial statements? He doesn’t believe that we have enough evidence to make an investment.

HOLD

(Market Call Minute.) He likes the long-term business model, but you have to be comfortable with China and the risk that is entailed with investing in China.

COMMENT

Has spent a lot of time over the last couple of years focusing on e-commerce. When this company went public, there was a lot of love/hate with a lot of people questioning if they could deliver on the growth people expected. It has done a better than expected job in doing that, not just the one e-Commerce business but a marketplace business, with much higher margin than people expected. His challenge is that property rights in China are not as strong as they are in North America, so you actually have a very creative structure that owns the entity, Alibaba, you are not actually a direct investor in the business. Going forward it is going to be a lot more challenging given the size of the business. As margins have compressed, he doesn’t feel he is being compensated through the valuation today.

COMMENT

Short Sell? He applauds your aggressiveness. He would like to Short it as he thinks it is a house of cards. In China there is an ability to keep companies sustaining at a higher level longer than what they otherwise would. From what he has seen on their accounting, he doesn’t know that there are real earnings being generated on a real cash flow. He wouldn’t own this.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick April 30/15. Down 3.31%.) After he had recommended it, he got stopped out and ended up buying some Facebook (FB-Q). However, he liked it so much that he got back in again at about the current price. Really thinks this is the start of the future.

COMMENT

Not a bad investment. They will surpass Wal-Mart (WMT-N) in Gross Mercantile Value within the next few months, and will probably be double by 2020. You have to keep in mind that of China’s total retail sales, only 10% is done online right now. US has 15% and growing, meaning that there is still a fair amount of headroom for growth. China has adopted online to offline faster than anywhere else globally, and this company will be exposed to that.

COMMENT

A significant changer of the Chinese economy. The move to the Internet in China is somewhat faster than what we are seeing in North America. This is the dominant player. One could argue that this is a very good investment.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

This actually came down to his model price in September of about $57 and jumped off from there. He would be a buyer if it got back to his model price.

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