Brookfield Renewable EnergyBEP.UN.TODON'T BUYNov 08, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 22, 2026. Market Open.
Brookfield in general keeps restructuring, so watch which assets they're moving around. He's owned many of the Brookfield companies, but not BEP right now. Renewables are suffering stretched PEs, driven by ESG investing, but ESG is seeing some pushback in the U.S. given the political divide there. Also, renewables are suffering under high rates, but over the long haul such rates are a plus. Doesn't expect much upside here.
BEP.UN has struggled along with most income stocks, with higher rates the main reason. It is still growing its revenue and cash flow nicely. Payout ratio is about 80% currently (last 12 months). The distribution was raised in February. We do not think it is at any risk in the medium term.
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Higher interest rates have been a headwind on the company.
Debt on balance sheet expensive with rising interest rates.
Still owns shares - will continue to stand behind company.
Global company with scale.
Buyers market with renewable sector becoming out of favor.
Recent equity raise creating an overhang on shares.
Expanding into nuclear energy - very promising.
BEPC is now trading at 13.3x times' EV/EBITDA. BEPC generates predictable revenue and solid cash flow due to the recurring nature of its renewable power assets. The balance sheet is leveraged with $13.1B in net debt, and the net debt/EBITDA is around 5.1x. We think BEPC is trading quite cheap with an attractive yield which is covered quite well by cash flow. High interest rates are headwinds for leveraged companies and capital intensive businesses. However, given the track record of healthy cash flow profile, we would be comfortable averaging into BEPC over time.
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Rallied when Democrats got into power, got ahead of itself. Higher interest rates have been a headwind. Likes it. Quite large, global player, involved in different sources of renewable energy. Westinghouse gives them niche entry into nuclear. Most cashflows are inflation-protected. Relatively attractive yield of 4.5%.
A lot more debt and uncertainty, so you'll get a lot more volatility. Complicated structures. Instead, look to pipeline names for a higher dividend and maybe some rebound in capital appreciation.