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TSE:CAE
There is a huge wave of tourism, particularly in Asia. Group tours, from the growing economy is driving the demand for aircraft. There is a shortage of trained commercial pilots, and this company should be a beneficiary of that. However, they have a history of not doing as well as people think they should do. He is not sure this is the right player.
He likes aerospace, both on the defence side and civil aviation side. This company really has sort of a lock on simulators, etc. He thinks the stock is okay. It pulled back to the 150-day moving average a little while ago and rallied off of that, and is trading at about $1 below its high. They have broad exposure across the sector. He wouldn’t have a problem with it, but there might be some better technical names to look at.
(A Top Pick Nov 4/16. Up 19.88%.) A dearth of pilots makes this a great catalyst, and will probably be so for the next decade. There is a huge number that will be retiring, and demand will be significant. There is also a massive expansion in China. This continues to rank very high in his model. Dividend yield of 1.4%.
It is a great company and he is sorry he sold it. He would wait for a pullback as he thinks it may be overbought. He would not get greedy and only look for a $1-$2 retracement. To set a target for selling, he watches for it to round over, but ride it as long as possible. (Analysts’ price target is $27.70)