Jennifer RadmanCardinal Health IncCAHPAST TOP PICKNov 08, 2017
(A Top Pick Jan 17/17. Down 18%.) A big Pharma distributor. There have a lot of things coming at them. It is so ingrained in the healthcare space in the US, and there are really 3 companies that control the whole thing. The issue has been around generics price deflation, and the cycle was much more severe than anything they had seen previously. There is also the Amazon factor. Had a spotty performance on the medical device side, and now they are going through a CEO transition. The company has about an 8% free cash flow yield. For that type of a business, when you start seeing easier comps, stabilization and deflation trends which really just started this quarter, the discount to the market is pretty significant, and she is expecting the whole group to trade higher.
Though drug companies are a target of politicians citing high drug prices, it keeps printing cash. For now, it's a cheap stock that won't be hurt by higher interest rates.
Healthcare distribution. Unique structure. Low margins, so harder to offset inflation. Avoid in this environment. The industry is attractive, so he'd look to JNJ, CVS, or ABT.
He would buy it here. His model price is over $53. This is the cheapest valuation it has been at in years and has a good dividend that is sustainable. He also favours investing in the US right now. Yield 4.25%
(A Top Pick Jan 17/17. 0% return.) There are really 3 players that dominate the entire space, and she switched to the leading player, Amerisourcebergen (ABC-N).
The healthcare space has been really beaten up since the election started. They have exposure to drug inflation and the pricing side of things. They are really only one of three distributors of pharma in the US. They have 8-9% of free cash flow. (Analysts target: $81.88).
MCK-N vs. CAH-N. They have done very much the same thing, so she has no preference. MCK-N is certainly the leader in the group. The peak was last summer at $15. If MCK-N moves lower she would buy a lot more of it.
(A Top Pick Jan 17/17. Down 18%.) A big Pharma distributor. There have a lot of things coming at them. It is so ingrained in the healthcare space in the US, and there are really 3 companies that control the whole thing. The issue has been around generics price deflation, and the cycle was much more severe than anything they had seen previously. There is also the Amazon factor. Had a spotty performance on the medical device side, and now they are going through a CEO transition. The company has about an 8% free cash flow yield. For that type of a business, when you start seeing easier comps, stabilization and deflation trends which really just started this quarter, the discount to the market is pretty significant, and she is expecting the whole group to trade higher.