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CaterpillarCATCOMMENTOct 11, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
They were viewed as a play on China. Given China's collapse, CAT stock should have tanked and shorters piled into this. But the CEO countered that CAT is more levered to data centres, which helped to sway the street. Still trades at 13x PE. Was up 11% in Q3. CAT has more room to run.
Just reported a strong earnings beat and their quarter defied concerns of a global slowdown. Shares rallied to an all-time high. CAT makes machines to non-residential construction, mining, oil/gas and data centre construction--all sectors doing well. Also, Washington is creating tons of jobs in infrastructure. CAT's sell-off was unwarranted in the first place. The CEO is making CAT less cyclical, and he foresaw the weakness in China.
They diversified away from China. CAT will benefit from federal infrastructure spending that will boost their orders. Also, when investors feel that US-China relationships are improving, they buy CAT. He sold some shares today. Has rallied since last May. Is now seeing money from the Infrastructure Bill of late 2021. Trades at 13x PE 2023.
Rallied last Friday. The CEO has diversified the services offered, but shares have slumped. Wall Street views it as an old-fashioned cyclical stock, which is wrong. He expects a lot of orders for infrastructure projects by next year. Shares have bumped because of China's stimulus plans, but China represents only 5% of CAT's business.
This was basically left for dead and everybody was very negative on it. It hit a low in late January 2016, and has rebounded nicely. It was a long, long decline for the better part of 2 years, and then finally started to turn around, and it is breaking out again. This is its first break-out in 6 years. This is probably a pretty positive thing for everybody in the world, because it means very, very hard-core resources and commodities are getting moved around.