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TSE:DSG
A lot of technology companies sell beyond multiples he looks at as a value investor. This one has always been an extremely good company. They are at the forefront of their technology. Longer-term they are in a very good place. Trading at 52X forward earnings. You have to grow a whole lot to justify those kinds of multiples.
This is a growth stock, and is a beneficiary of what is happening with delivery. It is a logistics company, and the more delivery there is of anything, then this company is a beneficiary. Also, it is a growth by acquisition story and interest rates are great for them. (Analysts’ price target is $36.29.)
Technology companies tend to do particularly well in the fall. This one tends to bottom out about mid-August through to the middle of January. The average gain for that period is about 25% over the past 15 years. Currently, there is not much of a breakdown, but it is trying to push below its 50-day moving average. This implies that the buying pressure is no longer there. There is short-term resistance with the 20-day coming in at around $33.
A boring name, but stable. Every portfolio needs some boring names. There wasn’t any particular catalyst this year, but it is up 30%+ in the last 12 months. He likes the recurring income stream. At the start of every quarter, they know what 90% of their sales will be, and they spend the next 90 days working on that last 10%. That predictability is what investors like. (Analysts’ price target is $25.47.)
(A Top Pick Aug 7/15. Up 24.62%.) Transportation software, speeding things along whether shipping by truck, train, boat, plane. This is not cheap, as 85% of their revenue is recurring, and people like the visibility of that. Earnings growth is forecast to be 15% for the Jan 2018 year end against a 23 PE. It should continue to do well over the next 3 years because of the high recurring revenue.
Every portfolio should have some low maintenance stocks and this is one. At the beginning of every quarter they know what 90% of their quarterly revenues are going to look like, and spend the next 90 days getting the next 10%. Investors like the stability and consistently on this, as well as the long-term growth.
What he really likes is this company’s predictability. At the start of every quarter they know what 90% of the revenues are going to be for the next 90 days, so they spend the rest of the quarter getting that last 10% in. As a consequence, it trades at high valuations, but he likes the long-term story. It is a play on global trade and logistics.
It is really quite a good company. There is no question about it. He always likes to see an upward trend in the return on capital, which we have. Valuation is a little rich, but when you have a high quality company it tends to be justified.