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Enerplus CorpERF.TODON'T BUYOct 01, 2012Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 03, 2024. Market Open.
At least 15 years of drilling inventory in Bakken play. Very strong balance sheet (almost no debt). Expecting ~60% of free cash flow returning to shareholders. Trading under 3x cash flow with $80 oil. Expecting ~$29 share price next year given $80 oil. Expecting strong performance in 2024. Value proposition very strong.
Cut their distribution and may have to cut again. Payout ratio is still elevated at about 160 effective payout ratio. Probably better names in this group. If you want natural gas exposure, look at Arc Resources (ARX-T) that is flush with cash and hedged for 2012-2013. If you want more oil exposure, go for Crescent Point (CPG-T). If you want Brent exposure because it is widening over West Texas you would go for Vermilion Energy (VET-T). If you want heavy oil exposure, which is narrowing a lot to the differentials, he would choose Baytex Energy (BTE-T).