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Enerplus CorpERF.TOCOMMENTJun 07, 2019Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 03, 2024. Market Open.
At least 15 years of drilling inventory in Bakken play. Very strong balance sheet (almost no debt). Expecting ~60% of free cash flow returning to shareholders. Trading under 3x cash flow with $80 oil. Expecting ~$29 share price next year given $80 oil. Expecting strong performance in 2024. Value proposition very strong.
This has had a slow downtrend for the last 12 months. But seasonality kicks in during the summer for oil stocks, and the US dollar will help this dramatically if the USD breaks down. ERF pays a decent yield. Good management. The current price south of $10, we hit it in 2015, and faced resistance in 2016 with several touches in 2017. If it keeps falling, it will fall to $6-7. July should push this to $11, and it could move back to $16.