Guide Exploration (GO.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Guide Exploration (GO.TO)

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TOP PICK

A higher risk, more junior company. It has the potential to double its production over the next year. Owns some excellent acreage in northwest Alberta.

BUY

Has been a big fan for a long time. Current production is 9,100 with 1,800 BOE's behind pipe. He is using for his model to average 11,100 a day and do $4.80 in cash flow.

TOP PICK

Has grown very quickly through the drill bit. Has a great set of drilling prospects in front of it. May possibly double their production over the next year.

TOP PICK

Great growth record. Drilling prospects continue to look very good.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Expected them to have 7.900 BOE's a day, but their 3rd quarter results showed 8,064. Cash flow in the quarter was $0.86, about $0.01 better than he expected. Now expecting them to exit '06 at 9,200. Next year, expects an average of 11,100 and exit at 12,500. Would buy on any weakness.

TOP PICK

A top notch management team. Beating production estimates. Growing by the drill bit. Some of their plays could add $2/3 a share in net asset value. Underfollowed and relatively cheap. A good 2/3 year play.

BUY

Really likes this company. They're just starting to get traction. Their acreage is great in the perfect area. Very high impact shots which could add $2/3 in value. The company continues to deliver and keeps beating their expectations in their production growth profile.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick June 20/05. Up 55%.) Getting very good wells with production of over 1,000 barrels a day. Has reached his goal, so is now under review.

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Guide Exploration (GO.TO)