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Gluskin Sheff and AssociatesGS.TOBUYJan 23, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2019. Market Open.
All money managers are down this year 25-35%, worse in the U.S. Only Guardian Capital has held up. These are plays on the overall market, so as markets go down, assets leave the asset managers. So, the macro has hurt GS. Last quarter, $250 million in assets left GS out of a total of $8 billion. There are worries among asset managers that more assets will leave them as investors panic in this downturn. Cheap multiple.
Funds outflows usually follow underperformance. Once they start typically could go for years. The other factor that affected them is the departure of PMs. They could be a takeover target (like anything on the market). Most entities in the private wealth management space are private. He doesn’t think a takeover could happen soon.
A long-term manager of high net worth clients, who historically has done pretty well. He would avoid the stock right now. In the last year there has been a lot of infighting. The 2 founders are suing the company. Performance numbers have not been impressive. He worries what is going to happen to their asset flows, given some of the stuff that has happened.
A cheap company, valuation wise. They often pay special dividends. There were some litigation issues with the cofounders, but that’s behind them now. There is a new CEO coming on who has taken on a 2% position in the company, and thinks he is going to do some things to help move the share price. Dividend yield of 6.4%. (Analysts’ price target is $17.)
Founded by 2 people who were geniuses in the business of managing money for high net worth families. The stock has struggled. The company makes its money by charging a fee on assets under management, but also by charging a participation fee on profits. Increasingly, high net worth families are resisting paying participation, simply because they don’t have to. Because of this, the company has difficulty in expanding its asset base and producing the kind of profits investors want to see.
Possible takeover by one of the banks? It is tough for a bank to buy this, because the culture is much more entrepreneurial than what the banks have. Also, they focus on the high net worth investor, and the banks average client size would be significantly smaller. This has not gotten back to anywhere near the $30 share price that it had in the 2014 era. Dividend yield of 5.8%.
An asset manager that operates in the high net worth space. The demographics are great. Family assets are growing more quickly than lower net worth households. Also, client relationships tend to be longer-term and stickier, due to the nature of the services offered. The stock is discounted because of long-term litigation with the founders, which is likely to get cleared up later this year. Dividend yield of 5.27%. (Analysts’ price target is $19.67.)
He has been a pretty significant investor in financials over the last 14-16 months. Started in banks and worked his way into insurance companies as they started to rise. Early last year started actively investing in asset managers as his view was that equity markets were getting better. Although this company is a competitor of his, they are in a good business. We are in a good market and this company should benefit. Feels asset managers in general are going to have a tailwind for some time to come. Not only will they get asset growth through performance, but also going to have new money put to work as people move from things like fixed income and more towards equity markets.