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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert)


Stock Opinions by Brian Madden

TOP PICK

Biggest and best-of-breed in the category. Likes business model for its exposure to commodity price and upside optionality to more reserve and resource discovery. Insulates shareholders from operating and capital cost overruns endemic to mining. Well diversified by geography and operator. Bit of non-gold commodity exposure. 

Timely right now. Price has pulled back a lot since the summer, because biggest royalty interest is in Panama, operated by FM. That mine accounts for about 22% of Franco's NAV, and market's shaved about 30% off shares, which gives a good margin of safety. Good entry opportunity. Believes arbitration will prevail in its favour, which is what happens historically. Yield is 1.2%.

(Analysts’ price target is $200.67)
TOP PICK

Stock is not a household name, but Rexall is, which MCK just bought. Core business is wholesale drug distribution in US. Negotiates bulk drug purchases and distributes them. Low margin, but high inventory turnover, so high ROE. Stable, non-cyclical. In oligopoly with 2 others and a combined 90% market share. Non-discretionary. 

Chart looks nice, undemanding multiple of 15.5x earnings. Has grown at 10% compound rate over the last decade, well positioned to continue this. Yield is 0.5%.

(Analysts’ price target is $501.00)
TOP PICK

Uber now occupies the same mind space that google does, using it as a verb. Speaks to it becoming synonymous with ride-sharing. 131M monthly active users. Dominant and scalable platform. Strong network effect in that the more drivers and deliverers it has, the more valuable the network to both parties. 

Turned a corner financially, expected to be in the black this year. Profits expected to triple next year and continue growing dynamically as far out as 2025. Added to S&P 500, should do well. Looks expensive, but will grow into its valuation, with an outlook of sub-30x. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $64.98)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 23/23, Down 38%)

Timing on entry was not excellent. Loud and vocal short-seller took a lot of momentum away. Now discounted compared to other payment processors. Getting mojo back on the price chart.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 23/23, Up 13%)

Continues to think the franchise value is there, strong, and growing. In the wake of failed acquisition, question marks surrounding leadership and strategy. Best way to answer this is to put up good financial performance. Continues to own and buy.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 23/23, Down 7%)

Saw growth slowing, sold. Market share shifting in such a dynamic area makes it hard to identify the winners. Instead, bought WCBR, a more diversified cybersecurity ETF. 

COMMENT
Fed pivoting to rate cuts.

Wording has been very careful. At the meeting last week, we got the clearest sign yet that the last rate hike is in, and that the next move is down and almost certainly in 2024. Only issue left to debate is whether the cut comes earlier or later in the year than markets are expecting.

COMMENT
Important, long-term growth areas.

AI and big data. Autonomous vehicles. Infrastructure. Green energy. A number of themes have secular tailwinds, which are especially important when facing a macro environment with medium-term growth headwinds. More so in Canada than in the US, where he can envision the fabled "soft landing". 

Be on the lookout for companies that are innovative and "changing everything".

COMMENT
Outlook for AI.

Early days for AI technology. Viewers might have seen the AI-generated commercial for the Toronto Blue Jays. All tech has hiccups and bumps on the way to mass adoption. Nevertheless, it will be disruptive and a game-changer for lots of industries.

BUY

Cut loose earlier this year, amidst a difficult growth environment. Almost-impossible comparison to last year's profits from supply-chain shortages. 2023 US manufacturing recession led to a freight recession. Valuation is sub-16x earnings, in line with 10-year average. Quality compounder, consolidator in the industry. Compounded total shareholder return of 23% over the last decade. Comfortable buying here. Expects good 2024 earnings.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Buy on the dip. Price of crude oil commodity is out of company control, affecting share price. Getting spikey with Red Sea transportation disruption. Low cost, debt free. Returns most capital to shareholders. Share buybacks. Financially disciplined, quality assets. 

BUY

Dominates Search, and with "pull" advertising (whereas META does "push" ads). Huge market share and growing. Now used as a verb, "to google". Some cyclicality. Taking share from traditional ads forms will continue. Cloud is growing nicely. AI will be additive, making most of its products more valuable. Billions spent on R&D "Other Bets", and at least some of these should pay off handsomely. 

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Not timely. Great business, one of the Magnificent 7. Not supported by strengthening fundamentals. Earnings lull. Patent disputes. Headwinds. Better opportunities. Would take a look at better valuation on a pullback and/or if growth outlook improves, as it should in due course.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

A leader. Dominant position in US. Buy on any day "that ends in 'y'". Always seems expensive if you look at the high 30s PE ratio. Chart looks stretched. Look for a pullback, perhaps when December seasonality subsides early in the new year. Membership rate increases every couple of years creates earnings power, as there are few good substitutes.

About as good as it gets on long-term buy and hold.

BUY

Closed Westinghouse joint venture with BEP.UN. Now fully integrated with designing, building, and maintaining nuclear reactors. Two world-class uranium mines in Canada, production will increase next year. Uranium price has popped. Tailwinds to earnings, more upside. Benefits from ESG.

Showing 1 to 15 of 1,491 entries