IBM Common StockIBMBUYDec 08, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 24, 2026. Market Open.
It's finally breathing some life into its stock. The 4.1% dividend is one factor, and falling interest rates will help. Their Q1 and Q2 saw sales lighter than expected, though posted big earnings beat. However, they beat revenues and earnings last month, plus strong cash flow. The CEO has been touting hybrid AI to clients. Their key AI platform is Watson X, launched last spring. Their consulting business makes up a third of revenues but is overlooked. Shares trades at only 16x PE 2024. 43% of sales are from software, and 33% from consulting. This is consistent. IBM its recent upgrades.
IBM lacks the spread of clientele like MSFT. Also, IBM has been getting rid of their hardware business, focusing more on software with AI. In terms of quality, MSFT is better (customer loyalty, Office Suite) while IBM is inferior, offering little growth. IBM isn't a big player moving forward. Among megatech, MSFT is the top.
An old tech company that is undergoing a significant transition. Ultimately, they are going to be successful. It may take another year or so of flattish earnings, but after that they are really going to hit their stride with their software and services offering. Shares are very cheap, trading at 11X earnings.