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NYSE:MOS
It’s often dangerous to buy commodity stocks when they look cheap, because that often occurs when earnings have reached a peak. This competes with Potash (POT-T), a better managed company with a better group of assets and a stronger balance sheet. To buy any of these companies, you have to be a big believer that potash and fertilizer prices are going to rise.
She is not in this sector. Who knows how that is going to happen now to the whole issue of Potash (POT-T),. Potash prices are declining. Corn prices have gone down, which is not necessarily good for fertilizer companies. She would stay away from all fertilizer companies until we know what happens in potash.
On top of everything else, China entered the fertilizer fray by taking 13% of a Russian potash producer. China is not looking to maximize its return on investments, but to maximize its return on cheap fertilizer. This would suggest that prices are still likely to work lower. He also sees downside risks for both Potash (POT-T) and Agrium (AGU-T).