The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)Morguard CorporationMRC.TOTOP PICKMar 23, 2023
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly
The company owns a diversified portfolio of residential and commercial property portfolio worth $19 billion. It is benefitting from growth in immigration into Canada and sees the commercial sector stabilizing going forward. It trades below book value and at 10x earnings. We recommend a stop-loss at $95, looking to achieve $150 - upside potential of 40%. Yield 0.5%
We reiterate MRC, a leading North American real estate management company, as a TOP PICK. As the BoC holds interest rates from further increases, and rental rates are up over 10% across the country, we expect the company to continue reporting quarterly increases in cash reserves to allow for further retirement of debt and to buy back shares. It trades at 4x forward earnings. We continue to recommend a stop loss at $95, looking to achieve $125 -- upside over 18%. Yield 0.%%.
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Diversified REITs hit hard.
Collections declined by over 25% in retail.
Low dividend and sector uncertain.
Declining cash flow, and high debt.
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Diversified REITs hit hard.
Collections declined by over 25% in retail.
Low dividend and sector uncertain.
Declining cash flow, and high debt.
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Diversified REITs hit hard.
Collections declined by over 25% in retail.
Low dividend and sector uncertain.
Declining cash flow, and high debt.
Very wide discount to NAV. Its assets are not in sectors that investors are looking to add more capital to today. Exposure to industrials, multi-family, hotels. Seen as a value trap. Probably a safe hold, but more growth elsewhere.
All real estate is impacted by interest rates. Really got hit, as it owns all the things that were shut down. Company is a bit directionless. He owns AP.UN instead, as it has a clean structure, clear what management is trying to accomplish.
It is a large corporation rather than a REIT. The corporation has always traded at a big discount to an underlying value. It does not pay a distribution and has a valuation discount. It owns both office and retail. Both are sectors that have been hurt during the pandemic. It is hard to think about a catalyst that will close the gap of discount to value. For those that are patient and willing, it is something to look at.
Some businesses are not properly structures for COVID-19. Eventually the virus goes away and business goes back to normal and this one will be an undervalued company. You just need to make sure these businesses can survive.
They pay out such a small dividend that it is not going to impact the company. They have been hammered because of issues like their hotel vacancies and people not paying their mortgages. The analysts are looking for earnings that suggest a 200% upside to the guest. They are cheap.
(A Top Pick Mar 26/19, Down 34%) A tremendous amount of high quality real estate. He believes the net asset value is $280-$300 a share. It is a great opportunity here. It is an illiquid stock.
It was a core holding for years, but it continues to trade at a discount and the owner is very unpredictable. He isn't big on office and retail and MRC is. There's great long-term value here, though, but short-term, there are better places to invest.
The company owns a diversified portfolio of residential and commercial property portfolio worth $19 billion. It is benefitting from growth in immigration into Canada and sees the commercial sector stabilizing going forward. It trades below book value and at 10x earnings. We recommend a stop-loss at $95, looking to achieve $150 - upside potential of 40%. Yield 0.5%