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Micron TechnologyMUCOMMENTApr 02, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
They report Wednesday. This has a habit of shares running up till reporting, then it drops after reporting. If you can handle this volatility, buy some before, then after the report. Their prospects are directly tied to a winder economic expansion. Also, there's a new refresh cycle coming in PC sales.
The decline in demand for PCs is unsustainable, and we've moved past the phase of cheap computes for our homes during Covid. If Samsung indeed cuts production, there will be a Q3 upside surprise in computers and semis. Whenever the semis cycle turns positive, Micron goes from the worst performer to the best. Buy this now.
Both Samsung and Micron are pulling back in production, so history tells us we are within two quarters before semis bottom in pricing. Can't tell the exact timing, but you need to start buying Micron NOW, which is why shares jumped today even after a lousy quarter. Semis are a boom and bust business with gluts and shortages. Highly cyclical.
Bought this because this was a fragmented industry that has been consolidated down to 3 players. Historically pricing for D-RAM was quite volatile but there is a lot of pricing discipline now in the market. If there is more pricing discipline and less big new supply, then you could get a higher earnings multiple paid for the shares.