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Micron TechnologyMUWATCHOct 26, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
They report Wednesday. This has a habit of shares running up till reporting, then it drops after reporting. If you can handle this volatility, buy some before, then after the report. Their prospects are directly tied to a winder economic expansion. Also, there's a new refresh cycle coming in PC sales.
The decline in demand for PCs is unsustainable, and we've moved past the phase of cheap computes for our homes during Covid. If Samsung indeed cuts production, there will be a Q3 upside surprise in computers and semis. Whenever the semis cycle turns positive, Micron goes from the worst performer to the best. Buy this now.
Both Samsung and Micron are pulling back in production, so history tells us we are within two quarters before semis bottom in pricing. Can't tell the exact timing, but you need to start buying Micron NOW, which is why shares jumped today even after a lousy quarter. Semis are a boom and bust business with gluts and shortages. Highly cyclical.
His model price has fallen from about $70 to $24.17, but it is a cyclical, one of the biggest in the technology sector. There is a lot of chatter out there about just how the iPhone 6S is doing. The suppliers of the iPhone 6 parts have all been pre-announcing. PC sales are also way off. This one is very hard to recommend. He thinks it will back off to $12.60. We will know more when Apple comes out with earnings tomorrow night. The time to buy this company is when there are no earnings. He thinks there is still more downside.