50% off Premium Yearly
Micron TechnologyMUBUYApr 18, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
They report Wednesday. This has a habit of shares running up till reporting, then it drops after reporting. If you can handle this volatility, buy some before, then after the report. Their prospects are directly tied to a winder economic expansion. Also, there's a new refresh cycle coming in PC sales.
The decline in demand for PCs is unsustainable, and we've moved past the phase of cheap computes for our homes during Covid. If Samsung indeed cuts production, there will be a Q3 upside surprise in computers and semis. Whenever the semis cycle turns positive, Micron goes from the worst performer to the best. Buy this now.
Both Samsung and Micron are pulling back in production, so history tells us we are within two quarters before semis bottom in pricing. Can't tell the exact timing, but you need to start buying Micron NOW, which is why shares jumped today even after a lousy quarter. Semis are a boom and bust business with gluts and shortages. Highly cyclical.
Lam or Micron? Semi-conductors have been a good neighbourhood to be in. LAM is much more focused on equipment that makes semis while Micron is focussed on memory chips. With the proliferation of handsets, the demand for memory has been shooting through the roof, so Micron is benefitting big. He prefers Micron, though it's more cyclical than other stocks. Given consolidation in this space, the pricing power has gotten better. It trades at 6x PE like a cyclical. Great job of growing its business.