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Micron TechnologyMUDON'T BUYAug 20, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
They report Wednesday. This has a habit of shares running up till reporting, then it drops after reporting. If you can handle this volatility, buy some before, then after the report. Their prospects are directly tied to a winder economic expansion. Also, there's a new refresh cycle coming in PC sales.
The decline in demand for PCs is unsustainable, and we've moved past the phase of cheap computes for our homes during Covid. If Samsung indeed cuts production, there will be a Q3 upside surprise in computers and semis. Whenever the semis cycle turns positive, Micron goes from the worst performer to the best. Buy this now.
Both Samsung and Micron are pulling back in production, so history tells us we are within two quarters before semis bottom in pricing. Can't tell the exact timing, but you need to start buying Micron NOW, which is why shares jumped today even after a lousy quarter. Semis are a boom and bust business with gluts and shortages. Highly cyclical.
Incredibly volatile, both this stock and the "memory" chip space. If you like semi-conductors, then look at the semis' capital equipment companies. The real money is made by the people who supply the picks and shovels. Now is the not a good time to enter this industry because revenues will be down 10-20% in the quarter. But revenues should be higher in 2019. Look at this space in Q4.